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Special Session-O-Rama

by: David Dayen

Fri Nov 30, 2007 at 08:43:42 AM PST


Looks like that Dec. 5 deadline for voting on a health care proposal has been extended, after the power play of scheduling it on the day of the Republican Assembly retreat was justified by the Speaker's office by saying "Deadlines are deadlines."  Until they aren't.

And now, there's talk of a third special session, this one on the subprime mortgage crisis.  I guess the inaction on the first two was not sufficient; we need a third.  And I appreciate efforts to stop predatory lending, though I'm not sure how this would make a dent in what is a national credit lending problem.

I'm still not sure we have a housing "crisis" or just a housing market downturn, but I am pretty sure that nothing the Assembly is going to do in a special session this year is going to affect it one way or the other. Well, they are probably capable of making it worse. But I don't think they can or will do anything to increase the value of my home, and while I'd love the help, I don't particularly think they should try.

I'm not as dismissive as Dan Weintraub; this is most definitely a crisis.  But I'm not really sure what the Assembly can do.  The bills they have proposed would only apply to new loans.  That's important, but they would not do a whole lot for those facing foreclosure.  And anyway, those entering into new loans would have to be deaf, dumb and blind to agree to some no-money-down ARM at this point.  And this bit from the press conference is flat-out embarrassing:

In an illustration of the complexity of the crisis, though, one of the homeowners presented at the press conference as a victim said the house he lost was actually one of two that he owned.

While many owners have lost homes they occupied, others were investors who saw the real estate run-up of the past decade as an investment opportunity.

Sacramento resident Carlos Villegas said he was forced into foreclosure when monthly payments on the house he bought in 2005 shot up from $2,200 to $3,550.

"They gave me three days to move," he said. "I feel frustrated with the system.

In response to questions from reporters, Villegas said after the foreclosure, he moved back to a smaller house he had purchased 10 years earlier, which he had been renting out.

Of all the people with foreclosure problems, you found a guy with another house?!?

The credit mess is a national problem, and state solutions are nice, but they're not going to work.  Perhaps driving down the costs of healthcare through a new reform would be the BEST way to help those struggling with home payments.

UPDATE: CPR has a summary of Democratic legislative proposals, and I have to say that the steps to address the current crisis are fairly weak tea.  Some of these, like foreclosure consultant reform, are already illegal; others, like facilitating reporting on workout agreements and increasing talk between homeowners and creditors, should have been initiated months ago.  The only substantive policy I see here is shoveling $10 million dollars to credit counselors.  The federal plan being worked out by the Treasury Department, to freeze teaser rates for some mortgages, would do a hell of a lot more good.

David Dayen :: Special Session-O-Rama
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Special Session-O-Rama | 10 comments
Sub-prime (0.00 / 0)
There's a lot of work to be done, but I'm with you on that the relief that we need needs to come from the federal level. Dodd has been working on this a bit, but the question will become, who eats it on this one? Is the financial system willing to take a bit of a loss and refinance some of these to get something rather than nothing?

Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!

I think the answer is Abu Dhabi (0.00 / 0)
Considering their purchase of Citibank's portion of Big Shitpile.  Also there's that bailout-that-doesn't-look-like-a-bailout of Countrywide.

There is a deal coming together to freeze some subprime rates at the federal level, and that will help people (it's unclear how many).  However, Robert's absolutely right that "subprime" has become a code word for "any bad mortgage."  The problem is far bigger than just subprime mortgages.


[ Parent ]
Agreed (0.00 / 0)
At this point sub-prime doesn't really mean all that much. With the way that Wall Street securitized mortgages, who's to say what's what.  But, yeah, credit in general, and not just consumer credit, is in trouble these days.

Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!

[ Parent ]
What new loans would these be? (8.00 / 1)
With the state entering a recession, housing prices falling with no bottom in sight, and a global credit crunch that is making loans of any kind very difficult to get, it's not clear to me that there are going to be a whole lot of new loans out there to regulate. I'm all for these reforms, they're needed, but let's not kid ourselves that they'll have much effect on stemming the current crisis.

Which, as I've noted, is NOT a "subprime crisis" but a fundamental economic weakness whose first manifestation is housing. David's right that the solutions have to come from the federal level, since the state lacks the Constitutional and legal tools required to address the massive foreclosure rate itself. But what the state can and must do is address that underlying weakness.

Folks are losing their homes because they can't afford the payment due to other costs soaring, and wages remain stagnant in the face of this inflation. Where are the most foreclosures in this state? Car-dependent far-flung exurbs, from Hemet to Modesto. When did folks start having problems paying? When gas prices began to soar.

If the state is truly interested in staving off a crisis, they need to address these problems - provide cost containment for health care, alternative transportation, fund higher ed, and promote wage growth. Better mortgage lending regulations are overdue, but they're a drop in the bucket.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave


And then there's this (0.00 / 0)
It seems everybody's trying to get into the act of helping stop foreclosures. From the Gav in the Chronicle today:

San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom said that predatory lending practices have been unconscionable and that major lenders should step up their outreach to at-risk homeowners.

The number of foreclosures in San Francisco makes up just 2 percent of foreclosures in the Bay Area, city leaders estimate, and Newsom said city residents have "been fortunate to date."

But, he warned, "It could hit here, and if it does it's going to hit very acutely and very immediately and that's why we want to be prepared."



Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!

Antonio's got an event today too (0.00 / 0)
This is a coordinated effort.  I'm all for scrutiny of the mortgage crisis, but that should come with, you know, some results.

[ Parent ]
Added video: 1 in 88? (0.00 / 0)
Um, the Speaker says that 1 in 88 houses foreclosed are in California. Well, it doesn't seem like that's affecting California disproportionately as more than 1 in 10 Americans lives in California. Kind of a weird statistic to cite.

Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!

And the only reason anyone is even talking about subprimes? (8.00 / 2)
Because borrowing on equity has been the fuel that has kept the American economy running since the internet bubble burst.  And when all those home owners who have been leveraging their homes for today's consumer products can't refinance ... well ... lets just say that in the end "Demand Side Economics"  will trump "Supply Side Economic," and it ain't going to be pretty.  In other words, the BIG Corporations are about to feel the bite of their own mismanagement and bad investments .. and only a tax payer bailout will preserve the sham that is the Regan/Bush economy.

I fully expect Bush will get his sub-prime lenders/variable rate borrowers deal made and the fed will drop interest rates more so the mortgage market can continue to suck every last dime of equity and future savings out of the US middle class.    And in the end we will have put off the looming disaster a few more years.

The problem that needs fixing is this whole notion that our economy can be fueled by making it easier for corporations to produce things (i.e. low minimum wages, reduced OSHA regulations, reduced environmental regulations, tax breaks for producing things rather than jobs, etc.)  Worse still, making supply, rather than demand, the focal point of government policy, we've inadvertently caused the rise to supremacy of "Marketing."  The rule of the marketing department is seen most clearly in the Entertainment Sector and it has given us endless realty programs and other awful, but cheap TV fare around which advertising time is sold.  The effect of "marketing first" is felt everywhere and though it is not a new phenomenon, it has never been more prevalent than it is today.  Marketers set budgets and control content, but lack the creative talent to create anything that is good.  Like the current state of the Health care debate in California, it's about getting anything done so people will look at it...and in the case of entertainment, it's about selling ad space and for the Politicians, its about getting votes.  In both cases, the needs, the demands, of the people are no longer the starting point for these decisions.  

And that's what's wrong with everything.  


That is a brilliant comment (0.00 / 0)
And I have to agree that the health care debate is an example (one of many, sadly) of California government being taken over by a mentality that emphasizes marketing over quality of product.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave

[ Parent ]
Personal Responsibility anyone ?? (5.00 / 1)
Most folks over their heads were hoping to make a few bucks on a deal they should have realized they were unable to afford.  Everyone deserves to take a haircut on this one, the folks who went in over their heads, the mortgage companies that extended excessive credit to folks who couldn't afford the eventual payments, and the housing industry for pumping out too many homes at exaggerated prices.  No taxpayer bailout needed !

Special Session-O-Rama | 10 comments
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