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Núñez to Push Legislative "Reforms" - But Avoids the Real Issues

by: Robert in Monterey

Wed Apr 16, 2008 at 07:25:43 AM PDT


Facing the end of both his term in the state assembly and as its Speaker, Fabian Núñez is pushing a series of "legislative reforms," as reported in today's LA Times. The problem is that these "reforms" will do little to produce actual improvements in governance - and if Núñez is interested in securing his "legacy" as the article suggests, he's taking the wrong approach.

Núñez is trying to put three initiatives on the November ballot - a term limits extension that would only apply to legislators who are not in their final terms (so that Núñez himself won't benefit); a ban on fundraising during budget negotiations - and a redistricting measure.

Núñez is teaming up with Yacht Party leader Mike Villines on all of these reform initiatives, including redistricting. The article does not detail the Núñez redistricting measure, but noted that he (rightly) objected to the Schwarzenegger plan's possibility of weakening majority-minority districts - and that Núñez believes the best way to defeat Arnold's redistricting plan is to provide his own alternative. The article also notes that Núñez has $5.1 million to spend on these accounts (assuming he doesn't give in to the pressure to return that to the CDP).

But nowhere in Núñez' legacy plan is there anything regarding the 2/3 rule for budget and tax votes in the Legislature, by far the most important reform that the Legislature needs. $5.1 million would provide a major boost to an effort to eliminate the 2/3 rule and restore sanity to the state budget process. Given the likelihood of a Yacht Party holdout on the budget this summer public support for a 2/3 elimination would be high this November.

Instead Núñez is wasting his time on less relevant issues. Term limits reform would be nice, but it's not the state's highest priority at the moment. Same with fundraising during budget talks.

Most importantly, the entire redistricting reform movement is a sham, built upon completely unproven assumptions and on the unstated but key desire to reduce the number of Democrats in Sacramento. More on that below.

Robert in Monterey :: Núñez to Push Legislative "Reforms" - But Avoids the Real Issues
The LA Times article repeats the usual spin of the redistricting reformers:

Reformers say districts with more evenly balanced populations of Republican and Democratic voters would create more competitive elections and encourage legislators to pursue compromise instead of partisanship.

Nowhere does the article discuss the critics of these reformers, so I guess I'll have to do that myself.

For six years I lived in a state - Washington - that redistricts in exactly the way Arnold has proposed. Washington has been using this method to draw its districts since 1983. But the Washington legislature exhibits just as much partisan rancor as the California legislature. Republicans and Democrats rarely compromise in Olympia - instead they fight with each other just as often as they do in Sacramento.

Nor are elections particularly competitive in most Washington districts. Currently Democrats hold 2/3 majorities in the state legislature. Virtually all of Seattle, Everett, and Tacoma have long been Democratic strongholds, which has now been extended to all of King County. Very few Republicans now represent any part of the Puget Sound region.

This is because partisanship is NOT a product of legislative districts. It is instead a fact of American political life and has been ever since Alexander Hamilton and Thomas Jefferson formed the first political parties in 1792.

The notion that Republicans and Democrats are different because of non-competitive elections is absurd. The difference comes from very deeply held political beliefs. And the notion that the Republican Party in particular might become more centrist with redistricting reform is totally ignorant of the way that party has operated for the last 40 years. Since the conservative takeover of GOP institutions in the 1960s, moderate Republicanism has been dead in California. The only Republicans who survive primary elections are conservatives.

And it's going to be very difficult to draw districts that would give Democrats a chance to defeat such wingnuts. This is the other colossal flaw of redistricting - Republicans and Democrats tend to live near each other. It is simply impossible to draw competitive districts in San Francisco, the East Bay, Los Angeles proper, southern Orange County, Bakersfield, or Temecula - without engaging in gerrymandering of a more dramatic sort than has ever been done by legislators themselves.

The only supporters of redistricting reform are those who believe California sends too many Democrats to the state legislature, and who believe that we can send more Republicans with "more competitive districts." Realize that Republicans have 12% fewer registered voters in this state than Democrats, a gap that is widening. It is not possible to make all or even most districts "competitive." California voters have made their choices and we should respect those choices.

Redistricting reform failed in 2005, and it will likely fail in 2008. If Núñez wants to use his $5.1 million warchest for something useful, for something to build a legacy around, he should pursue changing the 2/3 rule. This is by far the best year to do so, and he would have a state grateful to him were he to champion such a measure.

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How about real healthcare reform: SB840 (0.00 / 0)
Yacht party is right...while real people like my patients are drowning in the sea of suffering. Shame on Nunez!

He needs to come clean; 7 million Californians are without access to health care. A more fitting "legacy" would be for him to be doing everything he can to marshall support for and win passage of SB840/Kuehl, Healthcare for All.

The legislature did the right thing by passing SB840 in 2006. Maybe Nunez could use his "influence" in the cigar tent and convince Governor Schwarzenegger to sign it into law this year. Protecting public values would be a worthy legacy for both of them. HEALTHCARE. A real issue for real men, women, and children, HELLO?

SB 840. REAL REFORM. It's about time!

 


One leads to the other (0.00 / 0)
I'm as strong an SB 840 supporter as you'll find on this site. But it will be difficult to approve the taxes needed to fund the program without fixing that obnoxious 2/3 requirement. If we eliminated that requirement or even reduced it to a 55% vote requirement it would make the passage of SB 840 FAR easier.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave

[ Parent ]
Agreed (0.00 / 0)
The Republicans will hold up any plan, especially SB 840, that has any taxes. Good public policy seems to take a back seat for the Club for Growth pledge for CA's republicans. All but one has signed it, and they all talk about how much they honor that pledge.

This rigidity is no way to run a state. We need to let the majority govern, and the way to do that is through ending 2/3. Redistricting could be more smooth, but, as noted, it will only get so far.

Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!


[ Parent ]
you need to pitch the LAT (8.00 / 1)
on this as an op-ed, because this perspective never gets in the paper and it's totally accurate.  

This is because partisanship is NOT a product of legislative districts. It is instead a fact of American political life and has been ever since Alexander Hamilton and Thomas Jefferson formed the first political parties in 1792.

Quite right, and this absurd notion that nobody in the state or the country has any deeply held political beliefs and we are all post-partisans now has got to be challenged.  This is a real backsliding for Nunez, to not recognize the fundamental problem of state politics is that lawmakers aren't allowed by rule to do their jobs.


One Correction (8.00 / 1)
There aren't 12% fewer Republicans than Democrats in California.  As of the latest registration report, there are 22.5% fewer Republicans than Democrats in this state.  But the California Republicans First initiative puts as many Republicans as Democrats on the redistricting commission.

Democratic: 6,749,406
Republican: 5,229,425


Really? (0.00 / 0)
The latest numbers show 43% Dem and 33% Rep registration statewide.

But the specific point you make is very good - why should Republicans have equal representation on the redistricting commission when they have MANY fewer registered voters?

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave


[ Parent ]
The Math (0.00 / 0)
There are 77.5% as many Republicans as there are Democrats.  Hence there are 22.5% fewer Republicans than Democrats.

Simply subtracting the percentages of the total doesn't give the right figure.


[ Parent ]
Ah. (0.00 / 0)
See, that's why I'm a historian and not a mathematician!

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave

[ Parent ]
the best way for our districts to get more competitive (8.00 / 1)
is for the republican party to stop pulling their party to the extreme right, and run the sort of liberal republicans that used to win in the bay area and los angeles. neither the redistricting process nor the democratic party ran all the moderates and liberals out of their party and rendered them a permanent  minority party; they did it to themselves.

for a bunch of people who love to crow about personal; responsibility, the republicans have got to take a look in the mirror and face why they're uncompetitive in this state. it's not the district lines, it's their ceding a majority of the districts by running wingnuts or noone at all.

surf putah, your friendly neighborhood central valley samizdat


Very Few Competitive Districts (8.00 / 1)
If you follow the rules in the Voting Rights Act (no retrogressive effect to minority voters), then there cannot be many more competitive districts in California than there are now.  The Institute of Governmental Studies at UC Berkeley did some work in this a couple years ago- I wonder if the results are public.

The GOP could become competitive in places like San Jose if they moderated, but with the 2/3 requirement in place they have no need to do so.  If someone wants competitive elections, they should roll back the 2/3 requirement, and incent the Republicans to promote moderate candidates in some districts.


Good points (8.00 / 1)
Moderate Republicans like Tom Campbell have indeed done well in San Jose within the last decade or so, but none of them seem to exist any longer. I would love to see if that IGS study is public - it ought to be.

And that's an excellent point about how the 2/3 rule gives a strong incentive to the GOP to maintain a far-right ideological stance.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave


[ Parent ]
Remember the 2/3 Threshold and the November Ballot (0.00 / 0)
Sorry to be late to the game with the comments ...

This possible effort will be LEGISLATIVE, not ballot initiatives.

Let's not forget it takes a 2/3 vote of the Legislature to get these ideas on the ballot. It's too late for any new initiative (like 2/3 budget vote) to appear on the November ballot.

Amen to the comments on redistricting above. Common Cause and AARP have sold out to the highest bidder--the New Majority six figure donors who are funding Arnold's campaign to elect more Republicans to the Legislature. The Common Cause plan will virtually eliminate African-American representative and substantially reduce Latino representation in the state legislature.

(Steve Maviglio/Speakers Office)


why not... (0.00 / 0)
Open Primaries???

[ Parent ]
Are you saying that the state (0.00 / 0)
should mandate open primaries, not the parties, so the parties don't get to choose the mechanism by which their candidates are selected?

Leaving aside that concern, your contention is that mandated open primaries would result in... what exactly?  Strategic voting in the other party's primary by party diehards?  And which way would that voting go?  

Your theory (one presumes) is that open primaries would result in more centrist candidates (where "centrist" is by unspoken but highly tendentious assumption both a fixed characteristic not related to the ability of people to move the consensus view of the world AND an unqualified good).  But you can also see that party-diehards might try to select the least electable candidate from the other party.  Trying to predict what would happen is a mug's game.


[ Parent ]
If Latino and African American Representation Declines (0.00 / 0)
then the result will not stand up in court.  The Voting Rights Act is very clear that electoral districting decisions cannot create a retrogressive effect with regard to the ability of minorities to select a representative of their own choosing.

I actually wouldn't mind slightly more competitive districts, but it won't change very much because Californians, to a greater degree than residents of other states, have "voted with their feet" and live among people who agree with their politics.  The result is that few competitive districts could be drawn without seriously funny looking districts.

That said, there is one redistricting rule I would like to see.  The entirety of districts should be required to be reachable by train, paved road, or by ferry boat.  Going over a mountain that has no road should not count as contiguous- it helps create absolutely stupid districts.

Robert- IGS has a lot of material on this subject and I can't seem to find what I remember a friend working on.  Maybe it's there and I just can't find it.


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