July 7, 2007

For a fringe idea… Part II

All of a sudden, pollsters think enough of the impeachment question to start putting the question in the field. The latest comes by way of Rasmussen Reports.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Americans now believe that President Bush should be impeached and removed from office. A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 49% disagree while 12% are not sure.

Those figures reflect a slight increase in support for impeachment over the past year-and-a-half. In December 2005, 32% believed that President George W. Bush should be impeached and removed from office. Fifty-eight percent (58%) took the opposite view at that time.

A majority of Democrats (56%) now believe the President should be impeached…. Republicans, by an 80% to 16% margin, say that the President should not be impeached…. Among those not affiliated with either major party, 40% now favor impeachment while 45% are opposed.

Interesting.

This is the third poll I’ve seen on this in the last two months, and the results are similar enough to bolster their collective reliability. An American Research Group poll released this week showed that among all U.S. adults, 45% support the House initiating impeachment proceedings against Bush (the percentage was 54% in relation to Cheney impeachment). And an InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion poll taken in early May showed 39% of American favor impeachment.

First, for a “fringe” idea that “serious” people are supposed to reject out of hand, 40% of the electorate sounds like a fairly substantial number of people.

Second, more Americans support impeaching Bush now than supported impeaching Clinton when he was actually being impeached.

And third, I think Matt Yglesias is right about the larger political dialog:

[I]nsofar as Bush appears determined to use his constitutionally granted authority to shield his subordinates from the consequences of breaking the law, I would say that removing him from the office which grants that authority is something that should be discussed.

Are there 67 votes in the Senate for removing Bush from office? Almost certainly not, a fact that seems unlikely to change anytime soon. For that matter, the prospect of a President Cheney is, shall we say, disconcerting.

But given the circumstances, there’s simply no reason to dismiss the notion as some radical flight of fancy. Reasonable people, debating in good faith, can disagree about the utility, implications, and grounds for impeachment, but as Yglesias put it, the concept should probably “enter the mainstream conversation.”

 
Discussion

What do you think? Leave a comment. Alternatively, write a post on your own weblog; this blog accepts trackbacks.

24 Comments
1.
On July 7th, 2007 at 4:23 pm, Jodin said:

Help Final Push to Impeachment

It’s time! ImpeachForPeace.org is traveling to Washington DC at the end of this month to deliver thousands of Do-It-Yourself Impeachment Memorials to key representatives in the House!

Support for impeachment is building. As of this writing, 14 reps are supporting Dennis Kucinich’s resolution to impeach Dick Cheney (H. Res. 333).

Even if you’ve sent them to your congressperson before, send us your DIY Memorials before we go:
http://impeachforpeace.org/ImpeachNow.html

You may not realize that the only thing standing between where we are today and a nationally televised impeachment investigation is the House Judiciary passing this resolution, which is currently awaiting consideration in their
committee. The head of this committee, John Conyers, has said recently that he supports the national impeachment movement.

All we need to push it over the edge is public support, and that’s where we come in.

Video of our trip will be posted on our website shortly upon our return. We’ll let you know when it’s up!

Click here to be a part of this:
http://impeachforpeace.org/ImpeachNow.html

Here’s a funny video about this unique strategy:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E9p2MnJwzaU

2.
On July 7th, 2007 at 4:40 pm, Anne said:

Clinton wasn’t convicted in the Senate, either, but that never stopped the GOP from moving forward with it in the House, did it?

This is a president who has shown himself to be impervious to the rule of law, and I think when that is the case, the only remedy left is the one that is most severe. If the executive branch demonstrates – as it has, repeatedly – that it does not care about the law, it is up to the legislative branch to take up the reins of government and do what needs to be done.

If they don’t, they will have failed the people and failed the democracy, which is meant to be protected by the exercise of this constitutional imperative.

If Bush leaves office without the Congress having drawn a line, and without having withdrawn and revoked the precedents set during his terms, they will have opened a door to future presidents and administrations that may not be able to be closed.

3.
On July 7th, 2007 at 4:44 pm, slip kid no more said:

After all of the Republican lies, arrogance, and lawlessness, don’t Giuliani, Thompson, Romney et al have “a mountain to climb” to win the presidency? I certainly hope so. With all of this sentiment for impeachment, the Democrats should point out that another Republican president will just deliver “more of the same.”

4.
On July 7th, 2007 at 5:16 pm, NeilS said:

Impeachment is a stupid idea.

It would be a waste of time and effort, and would ultimately fail. It would also be an act of cowardice. Congress has the power of the purse which is more than enough to limit the power of the President. Using impeachment instead of these powers is an abdication of responsibility.

In 18 months we will have a new president. We should focus on the future instead of seeking vengeance for the past. It is not a question of whether Bush or Cheney deserve impeachment. Of course they do. It is a question of how we conduct the nation’s business. History will deal with Bush and Cheney and Rumsfeld and Wolfowitz and Rice.

That may not be enough for many, but there is a lot of work to do to undo the damage that they have done. That should be our priority. It is time to put the interests of our nation above the anger in our hearts.

5.
On July 7th, 2007 at 5:26 pm, Davis X. Machina said:

…endeavouring to cause prospective defendants, and individuals duly tried and convicted, to expect favoured treatment and consideration in return for their silence or false testimony, or rewarding individuals for their silence or false testimony.

Impeachment wasn’t a stupid idea in 1974.

But now it is, somehow…

(The above is Article 1, section 9, of the articles of impeachment voted out of the HJC against Nixon.)

6.
On July 7th, 2007 at 5:49 pm, libra said:

In 18 months we will have a new president. — NeilS, @4

And how many more dead? And can you give me your guarantee that we won’t be in Iran? That there won’t be a further erosion of the law between now and then? More skewed Supremes, for instance?

Congress has the power of the purse which is more than enough to limit the power of the President. — same as above

And why not use *both* tools? Power of the purse short term (because building up support for impeachment will take time) and impeachmnet as the long-term goal. Throw in the investigations, just to keep the WH vermin busy on all fronts and also to keep bolstering the reasons for the long term goal…

Re the Rasmussen results: I wonder what the real numbers are. Because all of Rasmussen’s polls always seem to be skewed, by anywhere between 5 and 10% in pro-Bush direction (when compared to other polls, even the Faux ones), it’s hard to trust them on this.

7.
On July 7th, 2007 at 5:57 pm, tko said:

Thankyou libra @ 6, I was going to say the same thing but I wasn’t going to be as polite to KneelS.

8.
On July 7th, 2007 at 6:51 pm, floppin\’ pauper said:

Only a gain of 7 points in 18 months?

Americans are pretty tolerant. At least, when it comes to rampaging, power-mad, fascist criminals posing as politicians.

9.
On July 7th, 2007 at 7:21 pm, phoebes said:

Well, I mostly agree with Neil S. And, some with tko and libra.

The problem is that those poor people, both Americans and Iraqis are going to continue to die – needlessly – until we get Bush out of power, BUT, I don’t think impeachment is a snap-of-the-finger notion. If it was, I’d say, “fine, let’s go for it”.

What I’m more interested in is something I wrote on another comment section is, “investigate, investigate, and keep on investigating this corrupt administration and publish the findings – in easy-to-read comic book form, if need be – but make sure that even the dullest/dumbest voter KNOWS what we put in office, twice. So that it won’t happen again. So that history cannot rehebilitate these fuckers.”

I’m just not sure we need impeachment right now. What we need is for our Democratic leaders to say, over and over again to the American people, “We are TRYING to get done what the voters have put us in power to do, but the Republican minority is holding back any support of our issues”. Say it again and again, put the blame where the blame lies.

And, I sure as hell don’t believe any Republicans are breaking with the President UNTIL I see their votes.

10.
On July 7th, 2007 at 7:23 pm, NeilS said:

If you want to increase the power of Congress (and thus decrease that of the Executive), you need to exercise the powers of Congress.

Nancy Pelosi said best today: “We have many arrows in our quiver.”

That woman is smart. I’d listen to her.

Do you think that the House would impeach? I don’t. But if it did, would the Senate convict? No.

So what would you have accomplished?

Our time is much better spent changing the dreadful and dangerous course that this administration has chosen. There is a lot to do other than impeach a lame duck President.

tko – insults are below the normal caliber of this blog.

11.
On July 7th, 2007 at 8:25 pm, naschkatze said:

Knowing that high crimes and misdemeanors have been committed and failing to impeach sends the message that we do not believe in the rule of law for the highest offices of our country. We have this mentality that unless a prosecution is not a slam dunk, we must let the crimes stand. Start impeachment, and if the evidence becomes overwhelming, the votes will turn up.

12.
On July 7th, 2007 at 8:48 pm, Kropotkin said:

Let’s see – invasion of a country to control its resources, pulling forces out of Afghanistan so that Osama could escape, blocking the investigation of 9/11 so that we do not know today why the trade towers fell, torture and endless imprisonment of civilians, failure to respond to a hurricane bearing down on New Orleans – the reasons go on and on. I think this issue is moot because Bush is going to force Congress to impeach him by blocking all the investigations into his criminal activities. Impeachment proceedings need to go forward to show the country and the world that we do not tolerate this kind of behavior from our president. President Cheney would be an improvement over vice-president Cheney since his activities would become more public and subject to scrutiny.

13.
On July 7th, 2007 at 9:28 pm, zeitgeist said:

The closer Bush’s natural term ends, the less the public will really support impeachment once it starts dragging on – and it will drag on. Bush doesn’t matter at this point: the war can be stopped without impeachment — indeed, if the Congress doesn’t have the guts for one, it doesn’t have the guts for the other. Under the best case in terms of speed, impeachment wraps up in the same year as the election. People wont see how that gains much.

The only thing that matters now in the longer term, bigger picture is (a) making damn sure Bush is not followed by another Rethug filling cabinet positions and judgeships and (b) adding to our legislative majorities to make legislating easier and to make Liberman irrelevant. Were we father from November 2008, I might back impeachment but right now I want every effort, every energy, every dime and every resource working on November 2008. Along with legislating progressive goals and investigating the vast Rethug conspiracy in the meantime, nothing is more important.

14.
On July 7th, 2007 at 10:00 pm, libra said:

Do you think that the House would impeach? I don’t. But if it did, would the Senate convict? No. — NeilS. @10

Not today, no. But, the sooner, the better. And the only way for the idea to snowball and gain heft is to keep bringing it up, so that people are less frightened of it and so that it becomes a part of everyday conversation. If we don’t even start the conversation, we’ll never get anywhere.

Pelosi’s “we have many arrows in our quiver” is not today’s quote and it was uttered in ref. to a different subject. But, if you’d like to apply it to this situation… Perhaps it means she’s smart enough to keep the I-arrow in the quiver also, as the situation on the ground changes, instead of sweeping it off the table entirely.

Phoebes, @9,
Yeah, sure. *For now*, investigations (and publicizing the results as you suggest — simply, but loudly) are our best option. And, sure, NeilS is right that we need to use the power of the purse to stop the XYZs in the WH, short term (September budget sounds like a good date to contemplate).

But why should we not, eventually, avail ourselves of *all* the tools that are at our disposal? If you need to take a tree down in a hurry and the power is off, you start hacking with an axe. But, as soon as the power’s back on, you take a chainsaw to it. So we start hacking (investigations, power of the purse) and wait for the power to come back.

What’s needed is, *in that order*:
investigate
impeach
imprison.

Zeitgeist, @13,
It’s true that, the longer we go, the less “apppetizing” impeachment may sound. People like Neil will say “it’s only x months left, is it worth it?” But, the longer we go, the less certain I am that there will be a “natural end” to Bush’s term; not with the Grand Ventriloquist dictating the Dummy’s moves. With this malAdministration, tin-foil hats don’t seem to be a riduiculous fashion accessory at all. In fact, I think they ought to be made of heaviest grade aluminium.

15.
On July 7th, 2007 at 10:13 pm, libra said:

PS. Gabriel Fauré, the French composer of late 19th/early 20th century, when accused of writing “dissonant” music, supposedly replied: “what’s dissonance today, may be judged as sweet harmony tomorrow”. And he was right, at least as regards the recognition of his music.

So who’s to say the idea of impeachment won’t follow the same path?

16.
On July 7th, 2007 at 10:37 pm, Glen said:

Bush’s numbers are going to all time RECORD lows.

What better time to get the Repub Congress and Senate to go on record as supporting the President.

Being for impeachment now is going to be a real vote getter in 2008.

Bet on it.

17.
On July 7th, 2007 at 11:56 pm, Jesseaw said:

Couldn’t both Bush and Cheney be impeached? Their contempt of Congress, daring tthe Democratic-majority Congress to do something substantial about such contempt and their lawlessness, seems to mandate at least hearings to prove the case that the Bush/Cheney administration has been guilty of blatant lawlessness. If the evidence is clearly thre to prove criminal malfeasance, the votes and public support for impeachment would be there. Otherwise, their misdeeds unchecked will set dangerous precedents that would affect the effectiveness of checks and balances for future Congresses against future presidential administrations emboldened to act above the law.

18.
On July 8th, 2007 at 1:05 am, Phonatic said:

In all of this debate and discussion, I think we are missing the bigger picture. Emotionally, I have wanted Bush and Cheney impeached years ago. Rationally, I have been slower to reach that point for both legal and pragmatic reasons. But the one thing that I think we on all sides of the issue are missing is the historical, constitutional implication of such an action. I grew up with the history lessons of the Andrew Johnson impeachment, witnessed the almost-impeachment and resignation of Richard Nixon, and voted the issue of the then-possible impeachment of Bill Clinton. All of those impeachment proceedings have made statements about how American government should or should not function.

The history books I grew up with looked kindly upon the senator (no one was specified) who refused to cast the vote necessary to achieve the two-thirds vote necessary to convict. This has been seen as a decision that protected the proper balance of power between the legislative and executive branches. And the crime that Johnson was impeached for is now seen as an unconstitutional usurpation of power by a partisan Congress.

While I witnessed the Nixon episode as a young teen, I had no idea, until reviewing the incidents later in a history class, the overall severity of the situation. The lessons of that “imperial presidency” have stayed with me ever since. I also did not realize in the moment how much Congressional members grappled with the issue in simultaneously solemn, regretful, and resolute ways. I also had no realization of how close this country came to a martial take-over.

I feel confident that history will continue to show that the Clinton impeachment was a partisan maneuver of the Congressional Republicans with no regard for the national well-being or for solid and significant reasons for impeachment and/or removal.

In this current instance, I believe that history will show that a successful impeachment of Bush AND Cheney, if done properly and solemnly, can make an important historical statement about what is acceptable within American constitutional government. History will ultimately judge the House on both how it conducts itself and why it does so.

At this point, I believe that the House needs to proceed on impeachment in a sound and responsibly swift manner, mindful of making a statement that will stand the test of time. Don’t impeach because we’re angry. Don’t impeach to grandstand or to just make any statement. Impeach because there are serious constitutional and criminal issues involved.

If the process is done well and carefully within the House, then history will judge the Senate and how it responds on the issue of conviction and removal accordingly. But at least a historical statement and precedent will be set that the lunacy of the Bush administration and others that would seek to emulate it should not be tolerated.

It is time for impeachment – sound and reasoned impeachment.

19.
On July 8th, 2007 at 2:58 pm, NeilS said:

Lie to get us into a war. That has happened numerous times. Vietnam, The Spanish American War, etc.

Illegally tap phones. Presidents have done this repeatedly.

Incompetence in dealing with natural disasters. Hoover gained fame by dealing with the floods of the Mississippi River before becoming president. FEMA was traditionally staffed by incompetents until Clinton changed this time honored tradition.

Dispel with Habeas Corpus? Lincoln.

Appoint conservative Justices Blocking investigations? Lying to Congress? Dirty election tricks? Being stupid, uninformed, lazy, and appointing incompetent sycophants?Are these impeachable acts?

Tell me something that previous Presidents haven’t done many times over.

If you want government by impeachment then so be it. But the next Democratic President will be impeached also.

20.
On July 9th, 2007 at 12:08 am, Fred said:

I agree with Phonatic and Jesseaw on sensible consideration of impeachment.

To NeilS’ point about what Bush has done differently, I think it is the attitude of the Administration as well as its historical context. They wiretapped despite a FISA law designed to address secret wiretaps AND, most importantly, a supine Republican Congress who would have changed the FISA law. Even worse, they said post 9/11 that changes to FISA were not needed.

In addition, I think their rabid secrecy and adamant refusal to own up to their own actions, to defend what they’ve done illegally. Take Iraq. One could argue (heartlessly, in my opinion) that our national security interests dictated we attack that country and establish a presence. But the Bushies did not take that approach. And they deliberately ignored advice that would have mitigated many of the ensuing problems, for example, General Shinseki’s advice on troop numbers based on his experience in the Balkans and his subsequent firing (or retirement). Instead, they fear-mongered then attacked the patriotism of critics and outed an active CIA agent working on Iranian WMD.

So I don’t know that the Republicans would have the guts to impeach the next Democratic President. Or that the next President, of any party, will behave the way this Administration has for the past two terms.

My belief is that setting precedent for future government behavior is critical now. The Democrats and rational Republicans need to educate the public about the extent of any illegal activities that have gone on and make clear the rules for the future. That might be impeachment. It might be passing laws that are more clearly drawn. It might be more Congressional investigations. Or all of these actions. But I believe accountability is less important than setting a clear precedent for future behavior from Presidents and Congress.

I’m waiting for Pelosi and Reid to step up and call a spade a spade. Waxman, Conyers, Leahy, and others have. But we need the leadership. We need sensible members of both parties to clean up this mess. We need to isolate and marginalize the enablers of this sort of malfeasance.

21.
On July 9th, 2007 at 9:30 am, NeilS said:

Fred and others

If we start impeachment hearings, everything else will be put on hold. There will be no work on ending the war, FISA, or the myriad of other issues that need to be dealt with now.

22.
On July 9th, 2007 at 12:25 pm, Antonius said:

Maybe everybody could stop trangulating for a minute and carefully exploring politcial consequences and try to wrap their heads around the concept of doing the right thing. Impreachment is the right thing. Keep doing the right thing, over and over again, and even in the inattentive American people might eventually get the idea that you always do the right thing.

23.
On July 9th, 2007 at 3:07 pm, NeilS said:

Antonius

Getting rid of Bush and changing the course of the nation are the right things.

Impeachment is a means, and not a very effective one.