With a slowdown in the U.S. economy, the Las Vegas economic expansion has come to a halt. With people unable to pay for a gallon of gas, it comes as no surprise that they are not in the mood to go gamble. The Independent of the UK had a fascinating article about how Las Vegas is suffering with the slow economy.
According to the report: "With Americans cutting back on luxuries, and the price of transport rocketing, the so-called 'Vegas vacation' is facing the axe. This week, as the nation celebrated Independence Day, major hotels were taking stock of a fall in all-important room occupancy rates from their usually impressive 95 per cent levels to nearer 80 per cent."
Gambling revenues have also slipped 3%. Attendance at conventions, a big contributor to the city's coffers has dropped by more than 7%.
All an investor has to do to see how bad the carnage has been is to check some stocks related to the Las Vegas gambling and tourist industry. Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) has gone in the last 52 weeks from more than $148/share down to around $39, a drop of more than 70%. Ouch. MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) has dropped from more than $100/share to under $30.
As the economy continues to sputter, look for more trouble ahead for Las Vegas. On the other hand, contrarian investors may look at an uptick in the U.S. economy, whenever it happens, as a signal to potentially look at stocks that are associated with Las Vegas.
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 7/6/08.










Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
7-06-2008 @ 7:18PM
Betty Memolo said...
If Vagas is hurting so bad, How is AC doing???
7-06-2008 @ 7:34PM
Kent said...
Vegas over-built itself in the last 5 years with new multi-billion dollar casinos and more planned over the next 3 years. Vegas was bargain city 5-7 years ago, but with expansions and mergers, it is no longer the case as the owners have to service those debts. Vegas was recession proof 20 years ago under the old formula of less glitz and more gambling under the old-fashioned casino managements. Vegas won't go under, but it has now become part of the national economy and management will have to be more alert about it in the future.
7-06-2008 @ 8:46PM
Ski said...
I'm sure the same goes for Disney Land and Disney World.
7-31-2008 @ 4:25PM
Las Vegas Shows said...
This is a shame to hear. Las vegas is one of my favorite places to go. hopefully they recover soon and the economy bounces back.
9-15-2008 @ 3:03PM
Len Battaglia said...
My concern is the amount of money being spent on sports. Sports books, football, baseball basketball, prices to attend an event. It seems that with the present economy of the country, there has to be a new approch to the way the product of sporting promotions are draining the pocketbooks of the little fan. I am a strong sports fan, but I see a storm ahead.