http://breaking50percent.com Wed, 04 Jan 2017 14:41:51 +0000 Wed, 04 Jan 2017 14:41:51 +0000 60 en All rights reserved feeds@soundcloud.com (SoundCloud Feeds) A few minutes of NFL gambling news because you care about gambling, but you just don't want to spend too much time learning about it. Breaking 50% Podcast Adam Schaefer no https://i1.sndcdn.com/avatars-000260655037-u6hlr9-original.jpg http://breaking50percent.com nfl,gambling,footballFive minutes of NFL gambling news because you care about gambling, but you just don't want to spend too much time learning about it. breaking50percent@gmail.comAdam Schaefer tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/300894257 Wed, 04 Jan 2017 14:41:51 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/routine-peril 00:11:46 Adam Schaefer no The downside of routine. Breaks happen both ways. A way to get less ripped off by casinos. TCW: Saints +6.5 over Falcons LFCW: "They were three plays away from making the playoffs." RW: Value from futures bets is often elusive WW: Matt Taff The downside of routine. Breaks happen both ways.… The downside of routine. Breaks happen both ways. A way to get less ripped off by casinos. TCW: Saints +6.5 over Falcons LFCW: "They were three plays away from making the playoffs." RW: Value from futures bets is often elusive WW: Matt Taff breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/300056796 Thu, 29 Dec 2016 15:03:02 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/getting-to-work 00:09:06 Adam Schaefer no The joy of victory. Some jobs don't feel like jobs. Ridiculous flaws in counting stats. TCW: 49ers +3.5 over Rams LFCW: "The Panthers are out of contention so there’s just no reason for Kuechly to play." RW: Return TDs count against team defense stats WW: No clue The joy of victory. Some jobs don't feel like job… The joy of victory. Some jobs don't feel like jobs. Ridiculous flaws in counting stats. TCW: 49ers +3.5 over Rams LFCW: "The Panthers are out of contention so there’s just no reason for Kuechly to play." RW: Return TDs count against team defense stats WW: No clue breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/298988399 Wed, 21 Dec 2016 18:01:06 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/insurance-isnt-the-answer 00:10:13 Adam Schaefer no Joe Flacco makes a poor throw. Insurance is a poor solution. It would be a poor decision to pass up a head coaching job (so nobody(basically) does). TCW: Eagles +6.5 over Ravens LFCW: "Just get an insurance policy." RW: There are only 32 head coaching jobs in the NFL WW: TheGrossProphet Joe Flacco makes a poor throw. Insurance is a poo… Joe Flacco makes a poor throw. Insurance is a poor solution. It would be a poor decision to pass up a head coaching job (so nobody(basically) does). TCW: Eagles +6.5 over Ravens LFCW: "Just get an insurance policy." RW: There are only 32 head coaching jobs in the NFL WW: TheGrossProphet breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/297945309 Wed, 14 Dec 2016 23:17:01 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/the-innovators-curse 00:10:14 Adam Schaefer no Can intelligence evaporate? Can Giants' fans be any more irrational? Can we create some new narratives? TCW: Jets +2.5 over 49ers LFCW: "It's better to go in as a wild card." RW: The favorites haven't changed WW: KathiKKS Can intelligence evaporate? Can Giants' fans be a… Can intelligence evaporate? Can Giants' fans be any more irrational? Can we create some new narratives? TCW: Jets +2.5 over 49ers LFCW: "It's better to go in as a wild card." RW: The favorites haven't changed WW: KathiKKS breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/296772268 Thu, 08 Dec 2016 02:33:18 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/elitism-gone-wrong 00:09:29 Adam Schaefer no Rules helping defenders. A reason people hate elites. Two years isn't really two years. TCW: Vikings +3.5 over Cowboys LFCW: "I don't think there is any way he's contemplating retirement." RW: NFL contracts are different WW: BretLC1964 Rules helping defenders. A reason people hate eli… Rules helping defenders. A reason people hate elites. Two years isn't really two years. TCW: Vikings +3.5 over Cowboys LFCW: "I don't think there is any way he's contemplating retirement." RW: NFL contracts are different WW: BretLC1964 breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/295639265 Thu, 01 Dec 2016 01:41:39 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/the-real-x-factor 00:08:50 Adam Schaefer no Rare incompetence. There are many ways to lose. Not being hot in December. TCW: Titans -3.5 over Bears LFCW: "You didn't lose because of the officials." RW: You don't need to play your best football in December to succeed in January WW: rwhitcraft PW: Z** W***** Rare incompetence. There are many ways to lose. N… Rare incompetence. There are many ways to lose. Not being hot in December. TCW: Titans -3.5 over Bears LFCW: "You didn't lose because of the officials." RW: You don't need to play your best football in December to succeed in January WW: rwhitcraft PW: Z** W***** breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/294175763 Tue, 22 Nov 2016 03:10:07 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/stunning-arguments 00:07:56 Adam Schaefer no So many choices. A popular, yet meaningless, complaint. Ways to make money. TCW: Steelers -9.5 over Browns LFCW: Any comment against the new PAT rule RW: Thanksgiving dinner is a great time to make money WW: Too early to say So many choices. A popular, yet meaningless, comp… So many choices. A popular, yet meaningless, complaint. Ways to make money. TCW: Steelers -9.5 over Browns LFCW: Any comment against the new PAT rule RW: Thanksgiving dinner is a great time to make money WW: Too early to say breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/293381218 Wed, 16 Nov 2016 22:34:21 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/unfair-standard 00:06:24 Adam Schaefer no A glorious celebration. An unfair standard. A regression to his norm. TCW: Chiefs +2.5 over Panthers LFCW: "Matt Stafford shouldn't even be considered for the MVP because his team hasn't won enough games." RW: Last year was the Cam Newton outlier, not this year WW: willflemming A glorious celebration. An unfair standard. A reg… A glorious celebration. An unfair standard. A regression to his norm. TCW: Chiefs +2.5 over Panthers LFCW: "Matt Stafford shouldn't even be considered for the MVP because his team hasn't won enough games." RW: Last year was the Cam Newton outlier, not this year WW: willflemming breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/292266627 Wed, 09 Nov 2016 18:44:31 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/strategy-lessons 00:11:20 Adam Schaefer no Fatigue (maybe) matters. Multiple paths to success (or failure). A stupid strategy (stunningly employed by smart people). TCW: Dolphins -3.5 over Jets LFCW: "This shows that the Jared Goff pick was a colossal disaster." RW: Betting against teams that keep beating the spread is a stupid strategy WW: mikeschaef16 Fatigue (maybe) matters. Multiple paths to succes… Fatigue (maybe) matters. Multiple paths to success (or failure). A stupid strategy (stunningly employed by smart people). TCW: Dolphins -3.5 over Jets LFCW: "This shows that the Jared Goff pick was a colossal disaster." RW: Betting against teams that keep beating the spread is a stupid strategy WW: mikeschaef16 breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/291223497 Wed, 02 Nov 2016 21:43:57 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/honest-memories 00:07:42 Adam Schaefer no The Browns strike again. Certain honest opinions about honesty are honestly terrible. And deceiving memories. TCW: Browns +3.5 over Jets LFCW: "Look, I'm not advocating lying, but there's nothing wrong with not revealing everything, you know?" RW: Kickers are making PATs at a higher rate this year than last year WW: MMastro4 PW: rwhitcraft The Browns strike again. Certain honest opinions … The Browns strike again. Certain honest opinions about honesty are honestly terrible. And deceiving memories. TCW: Browns +3.5 over Jets LFCW: "Look, I'm not advocating lying, but there's nothing wrong with not revealing everything, you know?" RW: Kickers are making PATs at a higher rate this year than last year WW: MMastro4 PW: rwhitcraft breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/290077909 Wed, 26 Oct 2016 16:54:20 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/peer-editing-outrage 00:09:12 Adam Schaefer no A terrible game fittingly ends with a terrible cover. An easy spot to upgrade "gut feelings." And lessons about misplaced rage not learned from Ray Rice and Greg Hardy. TCW: Seahawks +1.5 over Cardinals LFCW: "It’s just a gut feeling that I went with." RW: The NFL is not a court of law WW: Gelo1211 & rwhitcraft tie A terrible game fittingly ends with a terrible co… A terrible game fittingly ends with a terrible cover. An easy spot to upgrade "gut feelings." And lessons about misplaced rage not learned from Ray Rice and Greg Hardy. TCW: Seahawks +1.5 over Cardinals LFCW: "It’s just a gut feeling that I went with." RW: The NFL is not a court of law WW: Gelo1211 & rwhitcraft tie breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/289019370 Wed, 19 Oct 2016 17:52:42 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/diet-and-exercise 00:08:45 Adam Schaefer no Eagles starting to regret missing on Cody Kessler. Unhelpful advice. And more is not always better. TCW: Browns +6.5 over Titans LFCW: "Cam Newton needs to become a smarter runner." RW: Forty-eight percent of NFL replays are coupled with a commercial WW: MMastro4 PW: SteveZissou23 Eagles starting to regret missing on Cody Kessler… Eagles starting to regret missing on Cody Kessler. Unhelpful advice. And more is not always better. TCW: Browns +6.5 over Titans LFCW: "Cam Newton needs to become a smarter runner." RW: Forty-eight percent of NFL replays are coupled with a commercial WW: MMastro4 PW: SteveZissou23 breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/287301024 Wed, 12 Oct 2016 11:16:58 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/pretending-athletes-arent-athletes 00:07:11 Adam Schaefer no Failed second chances. Begging C.J. to not be who he is. And Brock isn't good because he isn't good. TCW: Colts -4.5 over Bears LFCW: "Terrible decision by Mosley" RW: Brock Osweiler was not a good quarterback last year WW: Mrbossbuddy PW: rwhitcraft & SteveZissou23 Tie Failed second chances. Begging C.J. to not be who… Failed second chances. Begging C.J. to not be who he is. And Brock isn't good because he isn't good. TCW: Colts -4.5 over Bears LFCW: "Terrible decision by Mosley" RW: Brock Osweiler was not a good quarterback last year WW: Mrbossbuddy PW: rwhitcraft & SteveZissou23 Tie breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/286204599 Wed, 05 Oct 2016 19:58:26 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/caring-less 00:05:25 Adam Schaefer no Chargers wreck dreams. The most unforgivable verbal foible. Short-term memory loss. TCW: Saints +4.5 over Chargers LFCW: "The NFL really could care less" RW: In Week 3, Julio Jones had one catch for 16 yards WW: SteveZissou23, rwhitcraft and Chiss2014 Tie Chargers wreck dreams. The most unforgivable verb… Chargers wreck dreams. The most unforgivable verbal foible. Short-term memory loss. TCW: Saints +4.5 over Chargers LFCW: "The NFL really could care less" RW: In Week 3, Julio Jones had one catch for 16 yards WW: SteveZissou23, rwhitcraft and Chiss2014 Tie breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/285098418 Wed, 28 Sep 2016 13:05:21 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/humans-are-not-robots 00:08:16 Adam Schaefer no The Lions play with an appropriate level of aggression. Eli Manning plays with his standard level mediocrity. Humans play with a normal amount of variability. TCW: Lions +7.5 over Packers LFCW: "Eli Manning has led 35 game winning drives in the fourth quarter or overtime. Say what you will about Eli Manning, but no defense wants to see him in this situation." RW: Humans are not robots WW: redkes40, uncleschaeflit, Casey_Gaetano and SteveZissou23 Tie The Lions play with an appropriate level of aggre… The Lions play with an appropriate level of aggression. Eli Manning plays with his standard level mediocrity. Humans play with a normal amount of variability. TCW: Lions +7.5 over Packers LFCW: "Eli Manning has led 35 game winning drives in the fourth quarter or overtime. Say what you will about Eli Manning, but no defense wants to see him in this situation." RW: Humans are not robots WW: redkes40, uncleschaeflit, Casey_Gaetano and SteveZissou23 Tie breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/284018014 Wed, 21 Sep 2016 22:07:19 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/offense-is-easy 00:09:30 Adam Schaefer no Let's connect the dots about the ease of modern NFL offense when making comparisons to the past. TCW: Cowboys +2.5 over Redskins LFCW: "Technically it is, but I don't really like it." RW: It is much easier to play offense, specifically for quarterbacks, than ever before WW: rwhitcraft Let's connect the dots about the ease of modern N… Let's connect the dots about the ease of modern NFL offense when making comparisons to the past. TCW: Cowboys +2.5 over Redskins LFCW: "Technically it is, but I don't really like it." RW: It is much easier to play offense, specifically for quarterbacks, than ever before WW: rwhitcraft breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football tag:soundcloud,2010:tracks/282892233 Wed, 14 Sep 2016 16:23:19 +0000 https://soundcloud.com/breaking50percent/big-bold-and-mindlessdeclarations 00:05:00 Adam Schaefer no Sometimes it's simply better to say nothing at all. TCW: Vikings -2.5 over Titans LFCW: Terrelle Pryor will have more than 1,800 yards receiving RW: The NFL is not college football Sometimes it's simply better to say nothing at al… Sometimes it's simply better to say nothing at all. TCW: Vikings -2.5 over Titans LFCW: Terrelle Pryor will have more than 1,800 yards receiving RW: The NFL is not college football breaking50percent@gmail.com (Adam Schaefer)nfl,gambling,football