Ben's Brain

Week 17 - NFL and Survivor picks UPDATED

Sun, 01 Jan 2012 10:42:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 17 of the NFL season...

UPDATED 11:42 a.m

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer and Redskins fan who is still trying to figure how both the Cowboys and the Giants can lose...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

***Biggest advice I can offer this week; look for team and in some cases individual motivation (stats, rushing titles, etc) and note time of games for certain teams in the postseason but still fighting for seed. Home Team in CAPS

PHILADELPHIA 27 (-8) Washington 17: Sounds like LeSean McCoy is going for the rushing title. If the Eagles players want Andy Reid back, they go all out. I think they go all out. UPDATE - McCoy, inactive. Congrats MJD on the rushing title.

ATLANTA 24 Tampa Bay 16 (+10): Looks to me that by the time Falcons play at 4pm, the Lions will have already topped the potentially backup-led Packers and claimed the fifth seed. In that case, the likes of Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez could sit. Then again, a Lions loss means the Falcons play it out. For fantasy owners reliant on any of the above stalwarts, make sure you have a viable alternate ready to go. Jason Snelling could dominate the Bucs woeful run defense if Turner sits and Harry Douglas has potential

San Francisco 26 (-10.5) ST. LOUIS 13 : Use your Niners

MINNESOTA 24 (-2) Chicago 20: No Adrian Peterson or Matt Forte, but Toby Gerhart and Kahlil Bell will get the job done.

Detroit 28 (-5) GREEN BAY 20: At least you will know before 1pm whether Aaron Rodgers and company are playing or not. Even if Rodgers were to start, can't imagine he would finish, even the first half.

NEW ORLEANS 28 Carolina 23 (+7): Saints play at the same time as the Niners, both pursuing the number two seed. Only concern with using Drew Brees and company is will they get pulled should the Niners roll early. Pretty much have to use your Saints as you would normally.

Tennessee 20 (-1.5) HOUSTON 17: The Texans are locked in as the No. 3 seed, but need to generate momentum heading into the playoffs. Arian Foster's touches could be less than usual, but enough to warrant using him. UPDATE - Adam Schefter is reporting Ben Tate expected to start for the Texans.

CINCINNATI 17 (+2) Baltimore 16: AFC game of the week. Defenses rule, the Bengals a touch more.

Pittsburgh 24 (-6.5) CLEVELAND 10: Sounds like Big Ben will play, but for how long and how effective?

JACKSONVILLE 24 Indianapolis 21 (+3.5): Nice bottom feeder matchup. Those you might ponder are worth using since both teams - yes, even the Colts - will play this out.

NY Jets 20 (+3) MIAMI 17: No Reggie Bush means Daniel Thomas regains value, if you care.

NEW ENGLAND 34 (-10.5) Buffalo 17: Gronk find end zone.

San Diego 27 (+3) OAKLAND 24 : Norv Turner's likely swan song knocks the Raiders out of the playoffs. I smell a 3-pick day for one Carson Palmer and a 3-TDP day for one Philip Rivers.

DENVER 22 Kansas City 20 (+3): Kyle Orton nearly gets revenge against his former team, Willis McGahee and the Broncos defense pull it out. What's his name comes along for the ride.

ARIZONA 20 (-3) Seattle 16 : Use your players as you normally would. That is all.

NY GIANTS 27 (-3) Dallas 23: Sounds like Tony Romo is playing, same for Felix Jones. If you wait for them, just get those rabbit's feet out and start rubbing...

Last week: Straight (10-6), Spread (8-8); Overall: Straight (139-77), Spread (103-110-4)...

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Survivor pick...Goes against my using a road team theory, but when you have to break out the "in case of emergency" scenario, you like doing so with lopsided matchups such as San Francisco over hapless St. Louis... Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 - Carolina...Wk. 4 - Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 = Baltimore...Wk. 10 - Philadelphia...Wk. 11 - Green Bay...Wk. 12 - Atlanta...Wk. 13 - New England...Wk 14 - NY Jets...Wk.15 Arizona...Wk.16 Tennessee

Week 16 - NFL and Survivor picks with fantasy angles

Sat, 24 Dec 2011 09:31:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 16 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is trying not to over think things during Super Bow week. Advice to all" breathe easy, relax, do what you've been doing all season, other than now you trust Rex Grossman and the Redskins passing game...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

***I'm locked and loaded this morning with fantasy thoughts. Since we couldn't work out a second podcast, I'm here for any last minute questions. Post them in the comments field, hit me on Twitter (@benstandig), email me at podcast@fftoolbox.com. Seriously, ask away, let's talk it out. Ultimately any lineup decision is your call and your call alone, but I'm here as a source so don't be shy...

Home Team in CAPS

KANSAS CITY 24 (-2.5) Oakland 20: Sure, I'm buying the Chiefs as a momentum play Vegas style, but outside of Dwayne Bowe against the Raiders soft secondary, still not in love with any of the other KC skill players. The defense, however, certainly worthy of a start against the turnover-prone Carson Palmer...Michael Bush is a touch banged up, but he churned out 99 yards on 17 carries in the previous meeting. If the Raiders are smart, they will lean on their top RB instead of putting the ball in Palmer's hands. At least the Raiders QB has most of speedy weapons available, but I'm not gutsy enough to use Palmer (and I'm not scared of easy)/

Denver 27 (-3) BUFFALO 20: Verify Willis McGahee is active and then rush to put him in your lineup against a horrid Bills run defense allowing 23.5 points per game to runners. Tim Tebow should use his legs as well to churn out points when he's not targeting high-end WR3 option Demaryius Thomas...Remember when the Bills offense was potent? Yeah, it's been a while. C.J. Spiller's all-around skill set gives him top-15 RB potential

TENNESSEE 20 Jacksonville 14 (+7) : Chris Johnson's gimpy ankle only makes it harder to gauge the weekly "how much do you trust" factor. Truth is, not feeling good, but I still trust Johnson more than Matt Hasselbeck, which is why Nate Washington and Damian Williams are little more than risky WR3 against a Jags defense allowing the fifth most points to fantasy receivers...I don't need to say you don't start any Jacksonville player besides by MJD, right? Right.

CINCINNATI 17 Arizona 16 (+4.5): Since the Bengals passing game potency has been decreasing, look for more Cedric Benson, who outproduces Beanie Wells...Otherwise Larry Fitzgerald and A.J. Green, maybe the Bengals defense, but that's about it.

NEW ENGLAND 34 (-9) Miami 24: Love Brandon Marshall and Reggie Bush. Matt Moore is a sneaky QB1 play for Big Ben and Eli Manning owners, though he's not expected to have trusty tight end Anthony Fasano...As discussed on this week's FFToolbox podcast, Stevan Ridley looks to be emerging as a threat in the Pats backfield. The rookie's explosive upside makes him a gutsy call for owners in deep leagues, but overall the matchup against a Dolphins D allowing the third fewest points to fantasy runners is hardly ideal.

BALTIMORE 26 (-12) Cleveland 13: I wonder what the percentage of Super Bowl winners will have the Ravens defense. Difference maker for sure. Otherwise it's Ray Rice left, Ray Rice right and Ed Dickson scoring a touchdown. Not convinced Torrey Smith's value increases with Anquan Boldin out, but the Maryland rookie is always one play away from scoring from 70 yards out....Can't say I have much interest in Peyton Hillis, but I know I have none when it comes to Greg Little and the Browns receivers.

NY JETS 17 NY Giants 16 (+3): The Giants have the scarier receiving weapons, but in the Xmas Eve contest the Jets are presented with the significantly better matchup. Nicks and Cruz still rank ahead of Holmes and Burress, but the gap is closer than normal. Gut says Plax scores, Cruz gets his while Nicks' numbers take a tumble, but the grind it out nature of this important contest keeps all four under 100 yards.

WASHINGTON 23 Minnesota 17 (+7): I wrote about the beauty that is the Redskins passing game matchup against a Vikings pass defense that allows the most points to fantasy quarterbacks. So while I'd start the QB and top two receivers, Roy Helu's assortment of injuries is making me nervous, primarily because Mike Shanahan is his coach. If I have a comparable option likely to get lots of work (Kahlil Bell?) or with a stellar matchup (either Carolina running back?), I'd let Helu rest...

CAROLINA 34 (-9) Tampa Bay 14: Cam Newton, number one fantasy player of the week. Book it. Love both DeAngelo andf J-Stew, but the distribution of touches, especially around the goal line makes them risky regardless.Woithy of flex or low-end RB2, use either if you need upside or if you're dealing with uncertainty (Felix Jones, Packers backfield)...Bucs are packing it in which is why even though LeGarrette Blount's matchup is as tasty as his Carolina counterparts, I'm barely intrigued with him as anything more than a flex.

PITTSBURGH 20 (-12) St. Louis 6: With Charlie Batch under center, logic says the Steelers turn to Rashard Mendenhall early and often. As for Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown, owners will be counting on the speedy wide outs to turn five-yard slants and out into 40+ yard sprints and scores. That's why Wallace's value dips from his usual top-5 rank into the low WR2 range while Brown on paper is a WR3. Not impossible they produce, but their odds of doing so have dropped for sure...Start any Ram - basically Steven Jackson - at your own risk. Steelers D, not to be messed with this week.

DETROIT 28 (-1) San Diego 26: Get your popcorn ready for this one as Matthew Stafford and Philip Rivers should have an old fashioned shootout. Use Malcom Floyd, Nate Burleson or Titus Young as needed...My biggest fear in Super Bowl week? Having my player knocked out early, which is why guys like Kevin Smith who are dinged and come with a lengthy injury history have me running for the hills.

SEATTLE 14 (-1) San Francisco 13: The touchdown-streaking Marshawn Lynch against a Niners D that hasn't allowed a rushing TD this season easily stands as the most intriguing matchup of the week. Hard to think Mr. Skittles gets into Beast Mode, but I wouldn't sit him unless my other options were truly superior...As much as I love and defend what the Niners are doing this season, not feeling their offense much in this NFC West matchup. Frank Gore has RB2 value and Vernon Davis likely is your top TE option, but upside not tremendous.

Philadelphia 27 (+1) DALLAS 24: Michael Vick, back on track. Yes Jerry Jones, be scared. Feeling better about the Eagles receivers - at least this week - than I have in some time...Felix Jones is just so damn risky, because of his injury situation and the late start as the result could become irrelevant based on early outcomes. Only way I even ponder using Jones is if I have another 4pm/Sunday/Monday running back I could use should Felix wind up inactive. And no, Sammy Morris doesn't really count.

GREEN BAY 24 Chicago 16 (+11) : We discussed the how much or how little we trust the Packers this week at the top of the latest FFToolbox podcast. Give it a listen, it won't take long. I'll simply say I understand 10000000% percent if you start Rodgers, Nelson, Finley etc per usual, but there is more risk than in doing so than at any point this season. If the Niners lose on Saturday, the Packers will have clinched home field advantage before they play on Sunday. Two offensive lineman have already been ruled out. Just promise you have Matt Flynn rostered just in case...Songs will be written about Kahlil Bell if he goes from who's that to he's the man in a matter of two weeks. The Packers are thin along the defensive line and Bell's strong receiving skills ensure PPR owners can use him as a RB2 with Marion Barber out. All I can say is think about how you will feel if a player you never heard of 10 minutes ago bombs in the Super Bowl. if you can sleep with that as a possibility, then go ahead and boldly start him...

NEW ORLEANS 31 Atlanta 28 (+7): Brees, proles, Colston, Graham, Kasay, Ryan, Turner, White, Jones and Bryant owners: Enjoy

From Thursday...Houston 20 INDIANAPOLIS 14 (+7): Outside of their two running backs - Tate as a flex - and defense, not terribly excited about the Texans fantasy weapons. T. J. Yates is doing what he can, but hard to trust the rookie even against the Colts...Even though Donald Brown's matchup is hardly ideal - Texans defense allowing second fewest points to fantasy runners - I wouldn't laugh at anyone using him as a flex play or low-end RB2. Has touchdowns in three of last four games. As for the receivers, I guess Garcon and Wayne have some WR3 value, but I don't see this game turning into a rout where the Colts are throwing on nearly every play.

Last week: Straight (5-8), Spread (4-11); Overall: Straight (129-71), Spread (95-102-4)...

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Survivor pick... If you still have Carolina, go ahead and use. Since I've used them, guess I have to go with Tennessee... Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 - Carolina...Wk. 4 - Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 = Baltimore...Wk. 10 - Philadelphia...Wk. 11 - Green Bay...Wk. 12 - Atlanta...Wk. 13 - New England...Wk 14 - NY Jets...Wk. Arizona

Week 16 - Thursday night pick with fantasy angles

Thu, 22 Dec 2011 20:11:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 16 of the NFL season...

This Thursday night game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is setting the over/under of Andrew Luck mentions in tonight's Colts game at 10.5......As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

***Will post the rest of the week 16 games ASAP. Post any lineup questions in the comments field, hit me on Twitter (@benstandig), email me at podcast@fftoolbox.com, etct. Ultimately any lineup decision is your call and your call alone, but I'm here as a source so don't be shy...It's Super Bowl week!

Home Team in CAPS

Houston 20 INDIANAPOLIS 14 (+7): Outside of their two running backs - Tate as a flex - and defense, not terribly excited about the Texans fantasy weapons. T. J. Yates is doing what he can, but hard to trust the rookie even against the Colts...Even though Donald Brown's matchup is hardly ideal - Texans defense allowing second fewest points to fantasy runners - I wouldn't laugh at anyone using him as a flex play or low-end RB2. Has touchdowns in three of last four games. As for the receivers, I guess Garcon and Wayne have some WR3 value, but I don't see this game turning into a rout where the Colts are throwing on nearly every play.

UPDATED:Week 15 NFL and Survivor picks with fantasy angles

Sat, 17 Dec 2011 18:49:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 15 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of fftoolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is hoping a huge outing by CJ2K washes away the taste of an otherwise bitter season...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

***I'm locked and loaded this morning with fantasy thoughts. Since we couldn 't work out a second podcast, I'm here for any last minute questions. Post them in the comments field, hit me on Twitter (@benstandig), email me at podcast@fftoolbox.com. Seriously, ask away, let's talk it out. Ultimately any lineup decision is your call and your call alone, but I'm here as a source so don't be shy...

Home Team in CAPS

Dallas 27 TAMPA BAY 21 (+7): Felix Jones can salvage a disappointing fantasy season by capitalizing on the stellar matchup before him. Bucs defense allows 26.3 ppg to fantasy runners, worst in the league. Yikes. Only concern comes from perhaps an inspired performance on the national stage, hence the line call, but the Cowboys starting back has top-15 RB potential this week...Still hard to sit Laurent Robinson - and I'm not - but he saw about half the snaps as Miles Austin and Dez Bryant last week...If you want to start Mike Williams, sure, I guess. I'm more interested in Kellen Winslow; Cowboys allow eighth most points to fantasy tight ends...

NY GIANTS 26 (-6.5) Washington17: The Giants woeful secondary, one that has allowed 24 touchdown passes, has me thinking Santana Moss posts a second straight solid outing. Even Jabar Gaffney is a sneaky WR3 play while Roy Helu streak of 100-yard rushing days has a good chance of reaching four..As for the Giants, only tricky call comes at running back now that Ahmad Bradshaw is expected back for real-for real. I'd lean Bradshaw over Brandon Jacobs, though both can be used as low-end RB2 backs, though you can feel OK sitting them if better options exist...

Green Bay 38 (-13.5) KANSAS CITY 10: No Greg Jennings means more fantasy love for James Jones, a viable WR3 play this week, though I'd argue Jermichael Finley becomes the top beneficiary of the Packers playing without their top wide out...Kyle Orton starts for the Chiefs which gives them a puncher's chance at production, at least Dwayne Bowe owners hope so. For the first time in a month, I'd feel comfortable using the playmaking wide out as a WR2.

New Orleans 28 MINNESOTA 21 (+8): With Aaron Rodgers potentially/likely playing less than a full four quarters, Drew Brees takes over the projected top QB spot this week. Still hard to use any of his targets outside of Jimmy Graham and Marques Colston, though I'm a bit of sucker for Lance Moore as low-end WR3...Percy Harvin's raucous second half continues, topping 100 total yards and finding the end zone.

CHICAGO 16 Seattle 14 (+3.5): If you have more than one fantasy play in this game, you might be in trouble. Marshawn Lynch of course, Marion Barber in a RB/flex pinch, Doug Baldwin if you want to take a chance Both defenses have potential, though I'd lean toward the Seahawks against Caleb Hanie...

BUFFALO 24 (-1.5) Miami 21: Still liking Reggie Bush - don't forget who's been championing him most of the season - but I'm curious if the Dolphins will look to get Daniel Thomas more involved now that the season is winding down and a coaching change has been made...Over the last two games Anthony Fasano has averaged 3.5 receptions and 61 yards. The Bills allow the fifth most points to fantasy tight ends...

HOUSTON 28 Carolina 27 (+6): I made the playoffs in five of my six leagues, still alive in four, face Arian Foster this week in two. Considering this frightening matchup, fearful the number my remaining teams gets cut in half by the Texans top runner alone. Ben Tate also is scary as a flex or low-end RB2 option...Greg Olsen falls outside the top-12 tight ends this week, facing a Texans defense allowing the fifth fewest points to fantasy tight ends. By the way, Joel Dreesen has a a touchdown in three straight games. To bad that's about all he does.

Tennessee 23 INDIANAPOLIS 20 (+6.5): Only real question with the Titans players is whether they normally solid, but so-so receiving options deserve a significant bump up in weekly ranking based on the ideal matchup. And the answer is...not really. Sure, I can see Damian Williams or Nate Washington streaking across the field on their way to a 48- yard touchdown, but the Titans will rely on the ground game most of all. Both targets have upside, but lack consistency and Washington for one just went off last week. Don't use them over safer plays.

Cincinnati 27 (-6.5) ST. LOUIS 17: All Bengals - Benson, Green, Gresham - are active this week, Dalton as a QB2. Considering the Rams are, according to the numbers, stout against the tight end, don't sit a regular starter for Gresham, though I'm doing exactly that since Vernon Davis faces Pittsburgh...As for the Rams, you know the drill. Steven Jackson, though I'd rather have Benson, and Brandon Lloyd as a WR3. That's it, that's the list.

OAKLAND 28 (Pick 'em) Detroit 26: Denarious Moore is expected back this week and adding his big play ability breathes life back into what has been a stale offense. Good news for Michael Bush owners as the Lions safeties will need to guard against the deep ball, but I'd be fighting with myself over having to start Carson Palmer. Better he's at home and the Lions secondary is beatable, but his penchant for picks, pass...Titus Young has 6 receptions for 147 yards and a score over his last two games. The speedy rookie should see plenty of one-on-one coverage against secondary that allows over 23 points to fantasy receivers per game...

New England 31 DENVER 24 (+7.5): Anybody hear much about this game? Yeah, I'm liking Tim Tebow has a top-10 option for sure and if you want to tell me the combination of his legs and the Pats woeful secondary bumps the Broncos quarterback into the top-5, I'm not going to argue with you. As for his targets, both Decker and Thomas have low-end WR2 value, but scary value at that considering Tebow's penchant for misfires. I like them both in standard leagues more than PPR...

NY Jets 20 (+3) PHILADELPHIA 17: Can't stand Michael Vick's matchup this week. The Jets defense has allowed the second fewest touchdown passes this season and over his last three games in standard leagues, Vick has scored 9, 8 and 10 points. I debated picking up the likes of T.J. Yates, but couldn't make that bold of a move. Here's hoping Vick has his wheels because without some rushing production, he might be lucky to be a top-15 quarterback this week...Santonio over DeSean...

ARIZONA 24 (-6.5) Cleveland 17: Larry Fitzgerald, Beanie Wells. That's it for the Cards. As for the Browns, Seneca Wallace starting should not limit whatever upside there is for Greg Little, who looks better than normal against a blah Cardinals secondary. If forced to pick, I'd go Little over Early Doucet as an upside receiver play in this game.

Baltimore 23 (-2) SAN DIEGO 20 : You probably have no choice but to ride the roller coaster that is Vincent Jackson's fantasy production, but you can sit out the Anquan Boldin as WR2 version against a Chargers defense that allows the 10th fewest points to fantasy wide receivers...I shouldn't like Philip Rivers much this week, and yet, I kind of do. Call me a sucker for the Chargers in December...

San Francisco 14 Pittsburgh 13 (+3): As I said on this week's podcast, I can make the argument that if Big Ben sits, there are no must starts in this game. With Charlie Batch at quarterback, Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown owners will be relying on the receivers to turn a five-yard hitch into a 70-yard score. Against the Steelers defense, Frank Gore won't find many running lanes. And to be clear, considering the injury situation and the Monday night kickoff, I struggle with the idea of starting Roethlisberger this week, even if he is a tough SOB. Well, unless you're prepared to use Batch or Alex Smith as your playoff QB should the need arise. I'm not.

Last week: Straight (10-5), Spread (9-5-1); Overall: Straight (123-63), Spread (91-91-4)...

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Survivor picks - Hmmm, OK, let's risk Arizona...Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 - Carolina...Wk. 4 - Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 = Baltimore...Wk. 10 - Philadelphia...Wk. 11 - Green Bay...Wk. 12 - Atlanta...Wk. 13 - New England...Wk 14 - NY Jets

Week 14 - NFL and Survivor picks with fantasy angles

Sun, 11 Dec 2011 11:05:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 14 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of ffftoolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who was reminded recently that fantasy football is just a game, but a game I love to play ...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

***PODCAST NOTE - Real life interfered with my schedule this past week and decision was made to pass on a podcast. We are back on track with plans to have a

Home Team in CAPS

BALTIMORE 27 (16.5) Indianapolis 10: Only concern for Ray Rice owners this week? Ravens score early and often against the Colts woeful defense by means outside of their stud running back and Rice sits much of the second half. It's also why Ricky Williams is a sneaky flex option or even RB2 play for those in dire need...Torrey Smith has been silent the past two weeks, but something tells me he scores on one of his patented long bombs...The Colts offense shown signs last week under Dan Orlovsky, but unlike the Patriots defense, the Ravens will not stop attacking.

CINCINNATI 17 Houston 16 (+3): Not much in this game for fantasy owners outside of the Arian Foster. Andre Johnson, not to mention Matt Schaub and Mario Williams, but the Texans stellar run game and substantive defense leads to a cover. Andy Dalton faces a tough challenge, one the fading rookie will not overcome...

GREEN BAY 34 (-11) Oakland 20: Carson Palmer reverts to his 2010 fantasy form; horrid first half puts his side in a hole, then he throws his fantasy owners a bone with volume tossing during the ill-fated attempt at a comeback.

NY JETS 24 (-10.5) Kansas City 10: This feels more like a Shonn Greene week than a Mark Sanchez-to Holmes/Plax week. This also feels like a week to sit every Chief where possible, even Dwayne Bowe.

DETROIT 28 Minnesota 20 (+10): Matthew Stafford's status as a must-start is no more, but using the Lions QB in a matchup against the Vikings banged up and beatable secondary is hard to pass on...

TENNESSEE 24 (+3.5) New Orleans 23: Last time the Saints played outdoors, the words divorce sham and Kim Kardashian had yet to become synonymous. Drew Bress threw six of his 11 picks in his last three outdoor starts. That trend provides the Titans an opening as Chris Johnson and Matt Hasselbeck have top10 matchups (though you only start the runner)...

MIAMI 27 (-3.5) Philadelphia 23: Dolphins, Reggie Bush, hot. Eagles, DeSean Jackson, not. Miami's secondary rarely allows a passing touchdown and it's not like DJax has been a scoring machine...

New England 28 (-8) WASHINGTON 17: Wes Welker has a Wes Welker type line, something in the 10-124-1 vicinity. Gronk finds the end zone again and the Law Firm is a sneaky RB2 play against a Redskins defense that has struggled at times against runs up the middle...Santana Moss cracks the century mark and Jabar Gaffney has deep-league WR3 appeal as the Redskins will be throwing often after halftime...

CAROLINA 27 (+3) Atlanta 24: This feels like an "upset" in the making. If the Panthers pull it off, the arm of Cam Newton and the hands of Steve Smith and Jonathan Stewart - plus the underwhelming Matt Ryan - will be reasons why.

JACKSONVILLE 20 (+3) Tampa Bay 17: MJD left, MJD right, MJD up the middle and into the end zone, twice. Only way Jags win...Mike Williams owners might want to keep going with their suddenly productive wide out, but Jags allowing fourth fewest points to fantasy receivers..

San Francisco 24 (-4) ARIZONA 19: Frank Gore finds the end zone and rushes for 90+ yards. Beanie Wells, not so much.

DENVER 20 (-3) CHICAGO 14: I agree with those that think the Bears defensive schemes stifle Tim Tebow. So what. The Bears limited offense is no match for the Broncos defense, a viable a fantasy option this week...

SAN DIEGO 28 (-7) Buffalo 20: If you want a sneaky pick as top fantasy runner of the week, Ryan Mathews is the call.

NY Giants 24 (+4) DALLAS 23: Sure, the Giants are the team entering the NFC East matchup with the lengthy losing streak, but it's not like the Cowboys are riding high. Since defeating the Niners in week 2, the Cowboys have failed to beat a team with a winning record. The Giants passing attack with Manning, Nicks, Cruz and Ballard tops anything the Cowboys can muster...Not sure you can sit any of the Cowboys top three receiver options, assuming all play.

SEATTLE 24 (-10) St. Louis 10: How bad are the Rams? I had little fear giving up 10 points with Tavaris Jackson at quarterback. Marshawn Lynch's ground game production and the Seahawks ability to slow up Steve Jackson tells the tale.

Last week: Straight (12-3), Spread (9-6); Overall: Straight (113-58), Spread (82-86-3)...

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Survivor picks - Not sure how much I trust them week to week, but cannot imagine the NY Jets losing to Kansas City...Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 - Carolina...Wk. 4 - Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 = Baltimore...Wk. 10 - Philadelphia...Wk. 11 - Green Bay...Wk. 12 - Atlanta...Wk. 13 - New England

Week 13 - NFL and Survivor picks

Sun, 04 Dec 2011 10:11:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 13 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of ffftoolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who kind of wouldn't mind if Darren McFadden sits out the rest of the fantasy season. Love him and all, but I'll taker one stud Raider RB over two guys splitting carries in weeks 15-16...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

***PODCAST ALERT - Real life gets in the way of the fantasy world this week, taking me away from the podcast mic at least until late in the week. So when it comes to your lineup decisions and such, consult FFToolbox.com for all your analysis needs..

Home Team in CAPS

Tennessee 24 (+2.5) BUFFALO 21: Producing yards against woeful run defenses has not been an issue for Chris Johnson of late. The Bills sport a woeful run defense. You get the point.

CHICAGO 22 (-7) Kansas City 13: Caleb Hanie versus Tyler Palko. Yeah, let's just say Matt Forte dominates and move on.

MIAMI 24 (-3.5) Oakland 20: Dolphins are playing well. So are the Raiders. I'll take the home team for the win and Matt Moore over Carson Palmer, who will be without some of his speedy receiver weapons (Ford, Moore).

PITTSBURGH 23 (-7) Cincinnati 14: Call me a sucker, but I still buy into the Steelers defense even if evidence suggests the Steel Curtain is not all that these days. Neither QB has a good matchup on paper, but Ben Roethlisberger produces QB1 numbers all the same.

Baltimore 17 CLEVELAND 16 (+7): Ravens have played enough lackluster games away from home for me to buy into the Browns underrated defense keeping the division matchup close. With that game close, maybe that is enough to justify Peyton Hillis as a low-end RB2. Maybe.

NY Jets 20 (-1.5) WASHINGTON 17: Not loving Rex Grossman against a the Jets ball-hawking secondary, but another potent outing from Roy Helu is in the mix. Not sure there is one wide receiver in the entire game I am anxious to start, though DeAngelo Hal has had issues with tall receivers. Plaxico Burress is tall. Just sayin...

Atlanta 20 (-1.5) HOUSTON 17: Texans are better than the Falcons. However, T.J. Yates, I need to see more before I buy into him. Also, Falcons run defense statistically among the NFL's best. Should slow down Arian Foster and Ben Tate (low-end flex this week) just enough to eek out a win despite their haphazard playing ways.

Carolina 24 TAMPA BAY 20 (No line): Josh Freeman's injury is messing with the line. LeGarrette Blount, Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams will be messing with would-be tacklers down the field. All three backs have RB2 days at least with Blount moving into top-10 category against the worst fantasy run defense.

NEW ORLEANS 28 Detroit 21 (+9.5): Nope, not trusting Matthew Stafford this week - not a major stretch, but I'm sitting him for Eli Manning in all my leagues. Still, Saints play erratic enough to keep Lions close.

Denver 24 (-1) MINNESOTA 22: I'm riding the Tim Tebow is the greatest leader in the history of the world train, plus factoring in the winning QB has the easiest projected matchup for a fantasy QB.

SAN FRANCISCO 27 St. Louis 14 (+14): Oddly, Rams tops against fantasy tight ends this season. Vernon Davis is no run of the mill option, but let's not pretend his reception and yardage totals have been up to snuff

Dallas 28 (-4.5) ARIZONA 20: Something tells me Beanie Wells rushing totals come crashing back down to earth while DeMarco Murray's rise well above the century mark. And yes, I would start Laurent Robinson over Dez Bryant, if that wasn't obvious already.

Green Bay 30 NY GIANTS 24 (+6.5): Eli and company keep it close, Nicks, Cruz and Ballard score, but Aaron Rodgers as always has last laugh. He throws three scores, one each to Nelson, Driver and Finley.

NEW ENGLAND 31 Indianapolis 14 (+20): Sure, Tom Brady does what he wants when he wants and the Law Firm is poised for a strong game, but the Colts keep it closer than man think. Dan Orlovsky is not good, but he is better than Curtis Painter. So if you're compelled to break Reggie Wayne out of moth balls, this is a reasonable week as a WR3.

San Diego 24 (-3) JACKSONVILLE 17: Only Blaine Gabbert could prevent me from taking the new coach getting Jags over the reeling Chargers. Philip Rivers has fifth toughest statistical matchup of the week, for what's worth.

Last week: Straight (9-3), Spread (6-5-1); Overall: Straight (101-55), Spread (73-80-3)...a technical error (me not being smart) wiped out last week's post Turkey Day picks. Fun.

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Survivor picks - Could take Chicago, even with Caleb Hanie, but I'll go with New England in a no doubter...Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 - Carolina...Wk. 4 - Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 = Baltimore...Wk. 10 - Philadelphia...Wk. 11 - Green Bay...Wk. 12 - Atlanta...

Week 12/Turkey Day ediiton: NFL and Survivor picks with bonus fantasy angles!!

Thu, 24 Nov 2011 12:23:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 12 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is more concerned about whether sweet potatoes will be on the Thanksgiving Day menu than if Brandon Marshall rebounds from a craptastic outing. He will, he will...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

***Doing a bonus week 12 podcast on Friday. Keep your eyes peeled and send those questions...More picks to come...

Home Team in CAPS

Green Bay 34 (-5) DETROIT 24: James Starks is active, but still not a terribly exciting play even though this figures to be a high-scoring game. No touchdowns since the season opener, no more than 13 carries in any game and the Pack looove giving just everyone else but Starks goal line totes...Packers D allowing 4th most points to fantasy tight ends, making Brandon Pettigrew a solid low-end TE1 option...If you need him, start Kevin Smith, but I will be curious to see how his body holds up playing two games in five days after sitting out all season.

Miami 24 (+7) DALLAS 23: Both teams enter with 3-game winning streak, though the wins have not come against the NFL's elite. The Dolphins defense has been stellar in that stretch and something tells me they keep it going, at least slowing the Cowboys up just enough...Brandon Marshall's final stat line: 8-147-1...You start DeMarco Murray, but considering the Dolphins D allows the second fewest fantasy points to running backs, don't feel nervous about sitting him if you have two other stud options.

BALTIMORE 20 San Francisco 17 (+3.5): Defenses should rule the day, errr, the evening, but you still use Rice, Gore...Boldin, Crabtree and Torrey Smith all are worthy WR3 plays and potentially sneaky WR2 calls in both PPR (Boldin, Crabtree) and yardage bonus (Smith) leagues...Vernon Davis, not as interesting, Based on the position you likely start him, but if you have a Kellen Winslow with a nice matchup, you can got that way.

Last week: Straight (11-2), Spread (6-7); Overall: Straight (92-52), Spread (67-75-2)

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Survivor picks - Been saving Green Bay (wish I hadn't last week). Now is a good time to unleash them...Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 - Carolina...Wk. 4 - Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 = Baltimore...Wk. 10 - Philadelphia

Week 11: NFL and Survivor picks with bonus fantasy angles!!

Sun, 20 Nov 2011 09:23:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 11 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who currently cannot believe he cut John Kasay this week but that he is freaking out about parting with a kicker. Stupid late bye week...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

**Since I only posted this late Sunday morning, I'm going to stay on the clock this morning, answering any lineup or other fantasy questions. Post below or hit me up on Twitter (@benstandig). Let's do this!

Home Team in CAPS

ATLANTA 23 Tennessee 20 (+6.5): Chris Johnson finally produced like CJ2K, but the Falcons run D substantially better than the Panthers. If Johnson does it again, his owners will be loving life the rest of the way...Harry Douglas has a chance as a WR3 without Julio Jones, but this could be a day where 2010 Roddy White emerges.

MIAMI 24 (-3) Buffalo 20: Suggesting the Dolphins have the better fantasy QB in this matchup a few weeks back would have been crazy. Not anymore.

BALTIMORE 24 (-6.5) Cincinnati 17: Don't care much for either running game in this one, but at least Ray Rice is a threat in the passing game. Have even less interest in using tight ends Jermaine Gresham or Ed Dickson. No A.J. Green takes away Andy Dalton's best threat and late game go-to. Likely the difference.

CLEVELAND 20 (-1) Jacksonville 17: MJD, maybe Greg Little as a WR3, both defenses for sure. That's it, that's the list of viable fantasy plays this week.

MINNESOTA 27 (-1) Oakland 24: Yes, I'm buying into the Raiders passing attack and Michael Bush will have another strong game, but this feels like a spot where the Vikings can pick off a win.

DETROIT 28 Carolina 22 (+7): This game should be high scoring, but would like to see Lions find offensive balance and get receiving targets not named Calvin Johnson involved. I'm not bailing on Stafford, but since I have him paired with Eli Manning in multiple leagues, I am going with the Lions passer where I need upside, the Giants QB where I need safe points.

GREEN BAY 38 (-14) Tampa Bay 17: Bucs D allowing most points to fantasy runners this season, so James Starks is poised for a rare truly productive game. Only because this game should become a rout sooner than later does Josh Freeman have low-end QB1 or more likely high-end QB2 value.

Dallas 26 (-7) WASHINGTON 17: Only Redskin I would ponder using this week is tight end Fred Davis' Cowboys did a solid job against him in the first meeting, but overall have struggling covering the tight end. On the flip side, all Cowboys including Laurent Robinson are good to go...if you have been debating using your open roster spot to add Tashard Choice, now is the time.

SAN FRANCISCO 24 Arizona 14 (+10.5): Niners grind it out style gives Cards chance for backdoor cover. Michael Crabtree poised for most productive outing of the season while Frank Gore is destined to frustrate owners. Sit him, especially on the heels of his nothing of a week 10, and he pounds the Cards soft run D. Start him despite his questionable injury report tag and another minimal outing transpires. If you have another top 15-18 back like Brandon Jacobs, Reggie Bush or maybe even Marshawn Lynch, I'd sit. Otherwise, roll the dice.

Seattle 20 (+3) ST. LOUIS 17: Only unit in this game I trust even slightly, the Seahawks defense, hence the "upset" pick.

CHICAGO 27 (-3.5) San Diego 21: The Chargers defense is slipping; the Bears O is on the rise. You do the math. Hard to believe I'd say this, but if forced to pick gimme Cutler over Rivers...And yes, Vincent Brown looks intriguing. WR3 with upside if needed.

NY GIANTS 28 (-5.5) Philadelphia 20: No Vick, No Maclin equals lots of McCoy, more Avant and Celek, but ultimately a Giants win. Brandon Jacobs is arguably a RB1 this week... Lawrence Tynes should be a fantasy kicker and for those looking for bye week help he appeared to be the most attractive. The numbers suggest it won't happen, but the Giants offense moves the ball, so...

NEW ENGLAND 34 (-14.5) Kansas City 10: Tyler Pafko has a tremendous matchup for his debut. Too bad he is ill equipped to do anything about it. Dwayne Bowe will need to be at his jump-ball best to haul in enough passes...Grabbed Pats defense in four of my six leagues this week, not just for this game but several other bunnies down the stretch.

Last week: Straight (9-6), Spread (9-6); Overall: Straight (81-50), Spread (61-68-2)

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Week 10 - NFL and Survivor picks...

Mon, 14 Nov 2011 10:24:00 -0400

Editor's note: We apologize for the delay on this post, there was an issue with our system.

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 10 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is debating whipping out a victory cigar even before the 1pm games after Michael Bush rocked the casbah for three of his leagues. Fine, the 4pm games...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

Home Team in CAPS

Pittsburgh 20 (-3.5) CINCINNATI 17:

Denver 28 ( 3) KANSAS CITY 27: Going with the Tebow's again, though Dwayne Bowe is the fantasy star of this one.

Jacksonville 26 (-3) INDIANAPOLIS 16:

DALLAS 31 Buffalo 27 ( +5): DeMarco Murray is the top fantasy runner in this one while Laurent Robinson has sneaky value, especially as WR3 or Flex in PPR

Houston 28 (-3.5) TAMPA BAY 24:

CAROLINA 24 Tennessee 23 ( 3): The top RBs for each team are worthy plays today. Put your hand down DeAngelo.

MIAMI 22 Washington 20 ( 4): Late word that Rex Grossman starts means somewhat good news for Redskins offense. Jabar Gaffney now decent WR3 in PPR

New Orleans 33 (Pick 'em) ATLANTA 30:

Detroit 28 (+3) CHICAGO 26:

CLEVELAND 21 St. Louis 20 ( 3):

PHILADELPHIA 31 (-14) Arizona 14: No DeSean Jackson means more Brent Celek, Jason Avant and Riley Cooper. No Kevin Kolb means no chance for Cardinals.

Baltimore 24 (-6.5) SEATTLE 17:

SAN FRANCISCO 20 (-3.5) NY Giants 16:

NY JETS 24 (-2) New England 21:

GREEN BAY 38 (-12) Minnesota 24:

Last week: Straight (8-6), Spread (9-5); Overall: Straight (80-50), Spread (61-67-2)

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Survivor picks - The Eagles have shown they can beat the bad teams, They do that again...Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 Carolina...Wk. 4 Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 Baltimore...Wk. 9 Dallas

Week 9 - NFL and Survivor picks...

Sun, 06 Nov 2011 09:58:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 9 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who currently prefers memories of Y2K over the reality of CJ2K...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

Home Team in CAPS

Atlanta 27 (-6) INDIANAPOLIS 20: Roddy White and Julio Jones do the big play receiver thing. Guess by default that means I like Matt Ryan this week as well.

NEW ORLEANS 31 (-8.5) Tampa Bay 21: The combo of a stunning loss to the Rams and the Bucs offense lacking consistency (especially on the road) has me siding with the Saints.

HOUSTON 27 (-10) Cleveland 16: I get that Chris Ogbonnaya was a hot pickup, especially for frustrated Peyton Hills owners. I also know the Texans rank 6th against the run and likely lead throughout, so temper expectations.

NY Jets 23 (+2.5) BUFFALO 22: Shonn Greene takes advantage of the Bills sub par run defense as the Jets pull the "upset". Ryan Fitzpatrick is the slightly better QB play in the matchup, but the long-term numbers suggest Mark Sanchez has the better second half.

KANSAS CITY 20 Miami 17 (+4): The numbers ay Matt Cassel has the third easiest matchups among QBs this week. Still do not trust using him outside of a bye week scenario. That does not mean Dwyane Bowe won't have a Dwayne Bow kind of day. His battle against Brandon Marshall for top receiving honors figures to be entertaining.

San Francisco 24 (-3.5) WASHINGTON 17: Hard to see the Redskins putrid offense score 20 points against LSU or Alabama, let alone the Niners. Frank Gore tops 100 yards yet again and Michael Crabtree hauls in at least five receptions with a score.

DALLAS 30 (-11) Seattle 17: The Seahawks run defense gets the job done, this week's job calls for Tony Romo going up top to Miles Austin and company. Cowboys D arguably tops among fantasy options.

OAKLAND 24 Denver 19 (+7): Only way Michael Bush does not post RB1 numbers is if Carson Palmer plays like a QB4

TENNESSEE 17 Cincinnati 16 (+3): I like the Titans to win, but not for fantasy. Bengals D proving to be formidable and the Titans offense pedestrian...Yes, I am starting CJ2K in the two leagues I have him in, but largely by default.

ARIZONA 21 St. Louis 20 (+3): If this is Skelton vs Feeley, I'll just check the box score.

NEW ENGLAND 28 NY Giants 21 (+9): Eli Manning without Ahmad Bradshaw limits the play-action, the QB's go-to move. Ultimately facing the Patriots woeful pass defense and trailing late gets Manning's numbers up to solid levels.

Green Bay 34 SAN DIEGO 30 (+6): This is exactly the kind of game the Chargers under Norv Turner win, but I'm not brave enough to pick against Aaron Rodgers and company, at least not to lose anyway.

PITTSBURGH 24 (-3) Baltimore 17: Joe Flacco already crushed the Steelers defense once this year. No way that happens again and Flacco brings Anquan Boldin down with him. And as for Hines Ward, I know he's hardly an elite option anymore, but if he's in your WR3 mix you don't sit him against the Ravens.

PHILADELPHIA 31 (-7.5) Chicago 21: Remember when folks were fretting about Michael Vick's production? On Monday night he goes over 20 fantasy points for the fourth time in five weeks. Brent Celek is once again a primary target.

Last week: Straight (10-3), Spread (7-6); Overall: Straight (72-44), Spread (52-62-2)

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Survivor picks - I know some would say take Atlanta, though I don't do road teams. Houston works, but used in week one. So, I'll take Tony Romo and the Cowboys and hope the offense is no longer MIA ...Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 Carolina...Wk. 4 Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 Baltimore

Week 8 - NFL and Survivor picks...

Sat, 29 Oct 2011 17:59:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 8 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who cannot believe snow is pounding the East Coast. Hey, Mother Nature, it's not even Halloween yet...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

Home Team in CAPS

TENNESSEE 27 (-9) Indianapolis 17: Will no longer discuss Chris Johnson in a RB1 context. Regardless of current rank, CJ2K should rip apart the hapless Colts run defense.

HOUSTON 24 Jacksonville 16 (+9): To the person in the FFToolbox podcast chat room on Wednesday, no, I would not start Mike Thomas. In five start, his QB Blaine Gabbert has four TDP and only topped 200 passing yards once.

CAROLINA 27 (-3) Minnesota 23: Good news for those frustrated DeAngelo Williams owners: The Vikings stout run defense gives you an excuse to sit the Panthers No. 2 fantasy RB other than because of his lack of production...

New Orleans 31 ST. LOUIS 21 (+13.5): Taking the Rams is more about the Saints potential/likely letdown following their blowout win on Monday Night. S-Jax keeps the close for a while before Drew Brees has his way with Rams beleaguered secondary. St. Louis allowing third-fewest points to fantasy tight ends, meaning the beastly Jimmy Graham may only rack up 80 yards and one TD.

BALTIMORE 28 (-13.5) Arizona 13: I actually feel bad for the Cardinals. With the Ravens coming off an embarrassing MNF loss, this could get ugly. Certainly will be physical. And yes, despite his horrific display against the Jags, I'd roll with Flacco as a low-end QB1. When he's been good, he's been very good.

NY GIANTS 34 (-10) Miami 20: It might not seem like it, but based on average points per week Eli Manning (17.8) ranks 7th among fantasy quarterbacks in scoring this season. On the other side, Matt Moore faces a Giants D allowing the 4th most points to passers this season. Not that you want to start Moore, but Brandon Marshall should thrive. With Daniel Thomas ruled out, the Dolphins should be throwing more than normal.

BUFFALO 26 (-5) Washington 20: Things are headed the wrong way in D.C. and do not figure to get much better when the Redskins face the Bills north of the border in Toronto. Both defenses are allowing over five yards per carry. We already know to start Fred Jackson. If you roll with Ryan Torain or sleeper Roy Helu, here's hoping Mike Shanahan does not screw you (though you know he will)

Detroit 27 (-3) DENVER 22: Tempted to sit Matthew Stafford - due both to injury and recent lack of production - but the matchup is rather ideal. Hmmm, this will be a game-time decision for me if nothing else, but likely stay with the Lions QB...I have a sneaky feeling Demaryius Thomas will thrive playing in the same game against fellow Georgia Tech star Calvin Johnson

PITTSBURGH 21 (+3) New England 20: The game pits arguably the No. 2 and 3 QB in the NFL - sorry, Aaron Rodgers is tops and do not try and tell me otherwise - yet I do not see either Tom Brady or Ben Roethlisberger posting monster numbers. Start all your players per normal, but I'll say Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown shine a little brighter than normal.

SAN FRANCISCO 20 Cleveland 13 (+9.5): The Browns figure to have better luck moving the ball through the air against the Niners so do not be shy about starting Greg Little or even Evan Moore has a bye week TE.

Cincinnati 23 (-1.5) SEATTLE 20: Bernard Scott finally gets the start with Cedric Benson's suspension kicking in, but his one game is against a surprisingly solid Seahawks run defense. Flex option, bye week play, fine, but Scott is unlikely to go off.

PHILADELPHIA 31 (-3) Dallas 27: Maybe because I added him as bye week TE or maybe because the Cowboys are allowing the 5th most points to fantasy tight ends this season, but I kind of like me some Brent Celek this week. Just sayin...

San Diego 28 (-4) Kansas City 17: With Mike Tolbert expected to sit out, Ryan Mathews touches the ball 26 times for 149 yards and scores twice. Enjoy.

Last week: Straight (7-6), Spread (5-7-1); Overall: Straight (62-41), Spread (45-56-2)

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Survivor picks - The Giants are probably the wisest play, but since I have already used Tom Coughlin's crew, I'll go with the pissed of Ravens with the Niners as the fallback should I chooses to save the Ravens...Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 Carolina...Wk. 4 Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans

Week 7 - NFL and Survivor picks with fantasy RB angles...

Sat, 22 Oct 2011 12:22:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 7 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is glad to hear Carson Palmer and the Raiders have come to their senses about starting (we think)...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

Home Team in CAPS

Chicago 23 (-2.5) Tampa Bay 20: Going with the Bears in the London Bowl simply because I sorta, kinda buy them more than the Bucs this season. Ringing endorsement, I know...Earnest Graham is line for another start and his outing last week was rather encouraging. Note the Bears are allowing the fifth fewest points to fantasy runners, but the game will remain tight so Graham can run the ball late.

CLEVELAND 23 (-3) Seattle 17: Peyton Hillis (hamstring) missed the entire week of practice, so Montario Hardesty likely starts. I'm vibing a Browns win and Hardesty is a factor even though the Seahawks run defense ranks 8th in the NFL. They also allow 22.2 points per game to running backs and Hardesty is ready to break out. If he does, Hillis owners are not going to be happy going forward.

CAROLINA 24 (-2.5) Washington 20: The "who the hell do we start at running back" game. On the Panthers side, DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are low-end RB2/flex options. I'll give a slight edge to Williams since the Redskins have trouble stopping inside running plays...Ryan Torain's numbers were certainly a buzz kill last week, but the Redskins abandoned the run. That won't happen this week and the Panthers can't stop opposing ground games. However, the Redskins o-line is now in shambles and we won't know what the new makeup can do, only adding to the madness. Just monitor the Sunday morning news to verify it is indeed Torain getting the start over Tim Hightower.

San Diego 23 (+1) NY JETS 21: The Norv's top the Rex's behind Ryan Mathews. Mike Tolbert has now morphed into scoring a TD or bust for fantasy owners...Shonn Greene's final stats - 18 carries, 70 yards, TD. Don't be fooled by LT2 receiving the ceremonial start.

TENNESSEE 26 (-3) Houston 21: Chris Johnson has now had his training camp and preseason. Time to get moving. Also it is time to stop avoiding contact, which he has been doing this season. The start of a second half surge begins now.

MIAMI 21 (Pick 'em) Denver 20: Daniel Thomas gets back on the 100-yard rushing train this week. The rookie starts off as a RB2 play, but jumps up a tier as he finds the end zone, twice...I buy using Willis McGahee, but the Tim Tebow factor cannot be denied. The former goal line vulture is about to get a taste of karma...

DETROIT 28 (-3.5) Atlanta 21: Even with my general desire to roster the handcuff to my top running backs, I never bothered with any of Jahvid Best's backups (fine, I drafted Jerome Harrison in the last round, but cut him a week or so later). Now? Yeah, I'm concerned enough about Best's concussion situation to grab Mo Morris. Let's be clear: I think the 31-year-old is a pedestrian option at best (pun intended) and non-Best owners looking for a long-term fix really shouldn't bother. Keiland Williams' value jumps up in TD-based leagues.

OAKLAND 20 (-3.5) Kansas City 16: With Kyle Boller likely starting, the Raiders should run more than normal, giving Michael Bush a step in touches and value...As for Jackie Battle, my belief is that his value will never be higher than it is before kickoff this week. Hard for me to buy him as a legit starter, but the Raiders run D is allowing the seventh most points to running backs. Flex him if you want, but trade him if you can.

Pittsburgh 24 (-3.5) ARIZONA 20: This spread makes no sense and why I'm beyond tempted to take the points as Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt knows the Steelers. But I won't...My loyal readers/listeners know I'm not a big fan of either Rashard Mendenhall Beanie Wells, but one of them is line for significant production this week. Congrats Rashard...

DALLLAS 34 (-13) St. Louis 17: While I still think Tashard Choice can be a legit NFL/fantasy option, not sure it happens in Dallas. Hang on to him if you can until we see that DeMarco Murray is truly the lead back with Felix Jones out. Considering the Rams porous run defense, Murray's upside is in the middle of the RB2 pack.

Green Bay 38 (-9) MINNESOTA 20: The division rivalry thing has me thinking I should take the points. The Christian Ponder making his first start against the Packers stout defense - at least up front - has me thinking the Packers cover. The Vikings secondary playing without their top corners has me thinking Aaron Rodgers posts numbers so big his owners might not need much more from their other players to win...Until the Packers make a call on the running back situation - at least one that does not involve a pure rotation - neither James Starks or Ryan Grant is terribly interesting.

NEW ORLEANS 31 (-13) Indianapolis 17: Whether it holds going forward remains to be seen, but Mark Ingram does his best Jackie Battle impression against the Colts lowly run defense. Darren Sproles has RB2/Flex appeal and you could do worse than Pierre Thomas if truly in a bye week pinch...Sounds like Joseph Addai is moving closer to playing, but none of the Colts backs are terribly exciting this week. Donald Brown is a low-end option in PPR leagues. After starting the season with Delone Carter on most of my fantasy rosters, I've started divesting myself of him.

Baltimore 27 (8.5) Jacksonville 17: The Jags keep the game tight and will be covering late. That is until Blaine Gabbert does what rookie quarterbacks do; force a pass into coverage against a ball-hawking secondary. Predicting an Ed Reed interception return for a TD might be the easiest call of the week...I don't need to say you still start MJD even against the Ravens, right?

Last week: Straight (9-4), Spread (6-7); Overall: Straight (55-35), Spread (40-49-1)

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Survivor picks - There a few nice options this week, but I'll go with New Orleans. My one rule is to avoid taking a road team and the Saints next three home games are against Tampa Bay, NY Giants and Detroit so this is the best chance to use them for a while...

Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 Carolina...Wk. 4 Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...

Week 6 - NFL and Survivor picks with fantasy angles...

Sat, 15 Oct 2011 18:22:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 6 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is thrilled Delone Carter's starting opportunity is finally upon us, but a little nervous that his starting opportunity is upon us...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Typically scheduled for Tuesday's (7pm) and Thursday's (8pm), but just download us on ITunes and you won't miss out when we switch to Wednesday's like we did this week.

Home Team in CAPS

GREEN BAY 34 (-13.5) St. Louis 14: If Steven Jackson can have one of those "wow, look at Steven Jackson go" first quarters, the Rams have a chance...to cover. Field day for Aaron Rodgers and company, making Jordy Nelson and James Jones WR3 or potential flex options, though both are essentially all-or-nothing plays...

PITTSBURGH 27 (-12) Jacksonville 10: Congratulations Tavaris Jackson! With the currently over-matched Blaine Gabbert taking snaps, you are no longer the No. 1 quarterback every fantasy wants their defense to face. The FFToolbox matchup analyzer shows that the defenses allow the fewest fantasy points to wide receiver. Mike Wallace remains a must start with Antonio Brown, Mike Thomas and Hines Ward falling much further down the viability list...

Philadelphia 24 (-1.5) WASHINGTON 21: Sometimes the "must win" angle is overblown. Not this week. Eagles lose and it's run the table time. Michael Vick dominated in this matchup last season and while he performs at QB1 level, LeSean McCoy's ability to move the chains steals the show. As for Redskins backfield, 70-30 Ryan Torain is the back to use. 99.9 percent nobody will comfortable starting Torain or Tim Hightower until midway through the third quarter.

DETROIT 26 (-4) San Francisco 20: Back and forth with this pick. There is some betting axiom about going against a team coming of a home win of 21 or more points on the road the following week. That combined with Calvin Johnson continuing to morph into a fully formed version of Randy Moss has me taking the Lions. Hard to start Nate Burleson with his recent struggles, but the Niners are allowing the third-most points to wide receivers.

Carolina 28 (+4) ATLANTA 27: For all the Cam Newton awesomeness, the Panthers have won win. Make it two as the Falcons fall continues. Roddy White averaged 7-71 and scored one touchdown in two games against the Panthers last season. Looking for more than that this week. With no Julio Jones, White reminds his owners why they used a top-15 pick on him, hauling in 10 passes for 147 yards and a touchdown. Yes, I'm going that specific.

CINCINNATI 24 (-7) Indianapolis 16: The Bengals defense is legit, making all Indy players suspect options, though it would be hard to not start Pierre Garcon the way Curtis Painter is finding him. The Colts run D is abysmal, making Cedric Benson a top-10 play this week. Jermaine Gresham is the tight end you want from this game. Sorry Dallas Clark...

NY GIANTS 28 (-3.5) Buffalo 24: OK Eli, I'm trusting you to not have one of those Eli four turnovers games like the Bills coaxed out of Michael Vick last week. He doesn't, generating at least 20 fantasy points for the fourth straight week. I know it doesn't seem like he's been that good, but....

BALTIMORE 24 Houston 17 (+7.5): We saw what happened last week when the Texans ground game was not hitting on all front and Matt Schaub had to carry the day. That was against the Raiders. The Ravens are faaaar superior stopping the run. You do the math.

OAKLAND 24 Cleveland 21 (+7): Mark it down; week 6 of the fantasy season is Peyton Hillis' fork in the road game. The Raiders defense has hardly been formidable, but Hillis has only one strong fantasy game this season. Off a bye, if he doesn't get it done here, look out.

NEW ENGLAND 31 Dallas 27 (+7): The good Tony Romo shows up, but it's not enough against Tom Brady and the boys. Every legit receiving option should be started this week, fro, Wes Welker and Miles Austin to Deion Branch. As for the backs, monitor the Law Firm's status after BJGE popped up on this week's injury report as questionable. Stevan Ridley could be a sneaky start for those that can wait for the 4pm inactives to be revealed.

New Orleans 27 (-5.5) TAMPA BAY 17: No Blount. Mike Williams has been brutal. The Saints are scoring. Yeah, I'll go with the Bourbon Street boys. Mark Ingram and Darren Sproles are worthy RB2 starts in 12-team leagues...

CHICAGO 23 (-2.5) Minnesota 20: Percy Harvin, my sleeper fantasy play of the week, scores for the fourth time in five games against the Bears. Last season he averaged 4.5 receptions for 68 yards and a score against the Bears. Use that as a baseline, but look for a bit more even though he has been dealing with a rib injury. Not sure why, but I'll give the points and count on Matt Forte and perhaps a special Devin Hester play to put the Bears over the top.

NY JETS 21 (-7) Miami 13: Go ahead and start your Jets; Shonn Greene has strong RB2 potential as the New Yorkers could be working with a lead for once. If you plan on starting Daniel Thomas, make sure you have Reggie Bush or another RB option in the game since the rookie runner remains questionable...

Last week: Straight (8-5), Spread (7-6); Overall: Straight (46-31), Spread (34-42-1)

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Survivor picks - After winning a Survivor pool with over 100 entries two straight weeks and making into week 12 last season before losing, this season has been Philadelphia Eagles bad. But we're troopers (or gluttons for punishment) so we keep picking and decide to take the easy path. Go Steelers!...

Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 Carolina...Wk. 4 Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants

Week 5: NFL and Survivor picks with bonus fantasy angles!!

Fri, 07 Oct 2011 17:53:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 5 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is amused that Redskins fan are desperate to bench Rex Grossman - despite a 3-1 start - for John Beck, a guy that scoffed out throughout the entire summer...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Typically scheduled for Tuesday's (7pm) and Thursday's (8pm), but just download us on ITunes and you won't miss out when we switch to Wednesday's like we did this week.

Home Team in CAPS

INDIANAPOLIS 24 (-2) Kansas City 21: When beyond desperate for a win, you pray for the Chiefs to pop up on your schedule. Hard to generate excitement over any of these running backs, but the Colts and Chiefs allow the 8th and 9th most fantasy points to backs respectively. I'd try Joseph Addai over the others, followed by Dexter McCluster in PPR leagues.

MINNESOTA 27 (-3) Arizona 23: Donovan McNabb's scoring in standard leagues has increased in each of the first four weeks while Kevin Kolb's numbers have gone the exact opposite way. Factor in the 0-4 Vikings are beyond due for a win and the Cards are coming off a craptastic loss, let's go with the guys in purple. McNabb makes for a sneaky, bye-week start for those searching the waiver wires with Tony Romo and Joe Flacco on byes.

Philadelphia 30 BUFFALO 28 (+3): It's rare that a 1-3 team on the road is a 3-point fave over a 3-1 team. Still not convinced we haven't seen the best of the Bills, but its clear we haven't seen anything close to a dreamy performance from the Eagles. Lots of fantasy options to use in this one, LeSean McCoy shines brightest.

HOUSTON 26 Oakland 21 (+5.5): This game is all about Arian Foster left, Arian Foster right, Arian Foster against the Raiders low-rated defense. That also means less Matt Schaub, especially if the Texans are playing with the lead. Jason Campbell is a riskier play, but the Raiders QB will be the one throwing late.

New Orleans 33 CAROLINA 28 (+6.5): Fairly stunning to think that after just four games into his rookie season, Cam Newton has been so prolific that he makes one think about which is the better fantasy QB in this game. Yes, the answer is Drew Brees, but the Saints would be rise to let the running game tee off against a Panthers run defense that is allowing 23.6 ppg to running backs. Both Mark Ingram and Darren Sproles are worthy flex or low-end RB2 starts.

Cincinnati 17 (+2) JACKSONVILLE 16: The matchup of rookie quarterbacks means start the defenses - well, at least the Bengals - and the running backs. Well, not Bernard Scott...

PITTSBURGH 16 Tennessee 14 (+3): The Steelers inexplicably cannot stop the run this season and now they will be without James Harrison and Casey Hampton with Chris Johnson visiting. Big Ben once again is a battered quarterback and Rashard Mendenhall is iffy at best to play this week. So why pick the Steelers to win? Gut feeling. That and Isaac Redman - a worthy RB2 start if Mendenhall sits - moves the chains consistently.

NY GIANTS 27 (-9.5) Seattle 13: Ahmad Bradshaw gets the heavy workload with Brandon Jacobs doubtful. That means a stat line of 23-138-2 is within his grasp.

SAN FRANCISCO 20 (-3) Tampa Bay 16: All that talk centered on the Eagles collapsing, but props to the Niners for reeling off 21 straight points. The momentum continues. Oh, Kellen Winslow should be on benches this week as he faces the stingiest fantasy defense against tight ends.

NEW ENGLAND 31 NY Jets 24 (+9) - Tom Brady and the Patriots have revenge on their mind, but wow that's a lot of points to give up in this rivalry. Brutal on Monday night, look for a better effort out of the Jets passing attack against the NFL's statistically worst pass defense.

DENVER 27 (+3.5) San Diego 24: This is exactly the game kind of Norv Turner's teams lose. Do love me some Ryan Mathews, however.

Green Bay 34 (-6.5) ATLANTA 24: The most impressive team in football against one of the most overrated (can't say "the most" as long as the Rams are win less).

DETROIT 30 Chicago 25 (-6): Wavering on what is my biggest fear; the Lions getting swept up in all the hype that comes with a 4-0 start and epic comeback win...or Jay Cutler. I'll split the difference by picking the Bears to cover, but Matthew Stafford and the Lions aerial show shred the NFL's 29th ranked pass defense.

Last week: Straight (12-4), Spread (7-9); Overall: Straight (38-26), Spread (27-36-1)

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Survivor picks - NY Giants...Then

Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 Carolina...Wk. 4 Tampa Bay...

Week 4 - NFL and Survivor Picks

Sat, 01 Oct 2011 14:58:00 -0400

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 4 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is wondering if this week is Donovan McNabb's last stand...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Times and the National Football Post. Scheduled for Tuesday's (7pm) and Thursday's (8pm). or anytime via ITunes and that's where you will find this week's fantasy angles...

Home Team in CAPS

Detroit 27 (+2.5) DALLAS 24 - No Miles Austin and a limited Dez Bryant equals Tony Romo struggling to keep up with the Lions potent attack. Calvin Johnson only gets one score, lame.

PHILADELPHIA 28 (-9) San Francisco 17 - At some point Eagles straighten this out. Niners only shot is if Frank Gore shows up against Eagles 30th ranked run D.

New Orleans 31 (-7) JACKSONVILLE 16 - Drew Brees versus Blaine Gabbert. Nuff said. Even if Marques Colston plays, he shouldn't for you. Lance Moore on the other hand...

Washington 21 ST. LOUIS 19 (+3) - This is the kind of game the Redskins have lost over the years. They almost give it away, but Tum Hightower and Roy Helu Jr. combine for 175 yards on the ground.

Tennessee 17 (Pick 'em) CLEVELAND 16 - Preseason is over CJ2K. Let's do this.

CINCINNATI 24 (+3) Buffalo 23 - Bengals 5th ranked defense combined with the Bills coming off an emotional win equals Buffalo's first loss. A.J. Green scores or goes over 80 yards or both.

Minnesota 35 (-3) KANSAS CITY 27 - Sure both teams are 0-3, but the Vikes schedule has been brutal and they've been far more competiitve. Adrian Peterson scores three times and Donovan McNabb saves off his benching, for now.

CHICAGO 22 Carolina 17 (+7) - The home team gets the win, but the Bears inability to convert third downs keeps the Panthers in the mix. Jonathan Stewart starts to make fantasy pundits wonder why he isn't the main back.

Pittsburgh 24 (+3) HOUSTON 20 - If the Texans are truly legit, they win this game. Guess I'm not buying in just yet.

Atlanta 27 (-4.5) SEATTLE 20 - Making this pick has more to do with the Seahawks than loving on the Falcons.

ARIZONA 26 (+1) NY Giants 24 -If Mario Manningham is starting for real for real I might switch to the Giants, but give me Kevin Kolb over Eli Manning in a second-half shootout.

SAN DIEGO 27 (-7) Miami 17 - Right as Daniel Thomas is rounding into form, he's sitting out this week. The rest of the Dolphins might want to join him after they fall to 0-4.

GREEN BAY 38 (-12) Denver 20 - Aaron Rodgers and James Starks take turns finding the end zone with the quarterback winning with three passing scores to Starks' two on the ground. Brandon Lloyd and Eric Decker could pile up yards in second half.

New England 31 OAKLAND 28 (+5) - The Raiders can't stop the Patriots, but Darren McFadden and Denarius Moore - my sleeper fantasy play of the week - stay stride for stride. Well, almost.

BALTIMORE 20 NY Jets 17 (+3.5) - Two stud weeks for Joe Flacco sandwiched a brutal week 3. Could revert to bad Joe against Revis Island, etc. Ravens still survive.

TAMPA BAY 24 (-10) Indianapolis 13 - Might be too many points to give. Then again, Curtis Painter is on the team getting points.

Last week: Straight (9-7), Spread (7-8-1); Overall: Straight (26-22), Spread (20-27-1)

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Survivor picks - Tampa Bay...then Green Bay, then San Diego...tough week

Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 Carolina...