Geopolitical Monitor https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com Military, Politics, Economy, Energy Security, Environment, Commodities Geopolitical Analysis & Forecasting Fri, 07 Mar 2025 14:11:03 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=5.5.15 US-China Trade War 2.0: Unpacking Trump’s New China Tariffs https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/us-china-trade-war-2-0-unpacking-trumps-new-china-tariffs/ Fri, 07 Mar 2025 14:11:03 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46423 Examining the scope of President Trump’s new China tariffs, their likely consequences, and how they match up to previous rounds of the US-China trade war.

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]]> Turkish-Kurdish Conflict at a Turning Point: What’s Next? https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/turkish-kurdish-conflict-at-a-turning-point-whats-next/ Thu, 06 Mar 2025 15:02:31 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46420 The PKK’s unilateral disarmament marks a potential turning point in Kurdish relations with the Turkish state, but challenges remain going forward.

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]]> Russia’s Shadow Fleet: A Masterclass in Sanctions Evasion https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/russias-shadow-fleet-a-masterclass-in-sanctions-evasion/ Thu, 06 Mar 2025 14:56:07 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46414 Russia’s shadow fleet has blunted the impact of Western energy sanctions, and other sanctioned states will seek to duplicate the trick in the future.

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]]> Whither the Quiet American? The Harmful Bombast of Trump’s Presidency https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/whither-the-quiet-american-the-harmful-bombast-of-trumps-presidency/ Thu, 06 Mar 2025 14:23:57 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46417 Contrary to prevailing opinion in the White House, the world is far too complex to be reduced to simple deals and slogans.

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]]> Rwanda and Congo Clash as Major War Brews in Central Africa https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/rwanda-and-congo-clash-as-major-war-brews-in-central-africa/ Tue, 04 Mar 2025 14:37:52 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46408 By taking Goma, the M23 and Rwanda crossed a Rubicon, as Kinshasa’s leaders cannot brook an all-out invasion of North and South Kivu without a response.

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]]> North Korean Deployment in Kursk: A Window into the DPRK Military https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/north-korean-deployment-in-kursk-a-window-into-the-dprk-military/ Tue, 04 Mar 2025 14:09:34 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46405 North Korea’s involvement in the Ukraine war affords a rare glimpse of the tactics, ideology, and equipment of one of the most secretive militaries on the planet.

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]]> Airstrikes: The Last Bastion of Junta Power in Myanmar https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/airstrikes-the-last-bastion-of-junta-power-in-myanmar/ Mon, 03 Mar 2025 16:00:08 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46380 Ending the airstrikes will end the Myanmar civil war – but it won’t happen without outside intervention.

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]]> Aras River Pollution: Politics Over Public Safety https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/aras-river-pollution-politics-over-public-safety/ Mon, 03 Mar 2025 15:58:49 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46401 Increasingly desperate to ease Iran’s water crisis, the authorities are now looking to harness the likely toxic waters of the Aras River.

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]]> Trump’s World: A Return to the 1930s? https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/trumps-world-a-return-to-the-1930s/ Mon, 03 Mar 2025 15:28:01 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46398 The post-WWII global order is breaking down, and the new one that is now emerging shares some unsettling similarities with the 1930s.

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]]> Breaking Down a Hypothetical US-Ukraine Critical Minerals Agreement https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/breaking-down-the-us-ukraine-critical-minerals-agreement/ Fri, 28 Feb 2025 13:53:58 +0000 https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/?p=46389 The US-Ukraine critical minerals agreement is being presented as a power move to recoup Washington’s war costs. But the economic outlook of the pact remains dubious.

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