gulf coast tropical weather

im at he public library in nola-hope to posts new posts

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 28 Aug 2013 11:27:00 -0500

lot's of energy in gulf next week

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Thu, 30 May 2013 16:31:00 -0500

euro and gfs showing a possible tropicl storm in the gulf within ten days

This year looks like a busy season. I plan on doing updates al day long..

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Mon, 15 Apr 2013 12:10:00 -0500

but more importantly use the latest technology to bring the hurricane enthusiasts different tidbits about tropical weather. People are always talking global warming, etc and all that. It is just a matter of fact that as the USA population increases.and the instant media grows..weather-good or bad - makes a difference faster.
To make a point- the plague killed over 30 million less than 100 years ago- but no one talks about that. It is forgotten. Now weather is the next menace- only because of more people -and more people moving to coastal areas.

major weather event wed nite in new england

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Sun, 4 Nov 2012 21:27:00 -0600

over a million people are in the dark and cold already. 4 foot tides will move in on NY and Mass wed nite. 60 mph gusts. long island will get hit hard.

even on cheap cell phones-internet can be reached

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Tue, 30 Oct 2012 13:55:00 -0500

wsj/nyt online sites offering free access

gusts to over 100mph forecast for nyc.

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Sun, 28 Oct 2012 13:54:00 -0500

hurricane might be stronger than forecast.

this will be declared a disaster in many states= you can go onlinr

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Sat, 27 Oct 2012 12:28:00 -0500

one can go on line and apply for ebt early. for a family of 4 making under 30.000 -one can apply and beat the rush

convergence and divergence

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Sat, 27 Oct 2012 12:24:00 -0500

the bottom 500 yards of the storm-you need warm moisture rushing in-it is turned into rain-condensation-releasing heat which rises and allows more inflow---then all that air has to go somewhere--so a high pressure-counter out flow is needed to provide the release(divergence)

hurricane hits gulf stream -and then runs into arctic front

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Sat, 27 Oct 2012 12:01:00 -0500

that water is 2 degrees above normal. yesterday the NHC said that the storm would transform into a hybrid storm- now it may stay a hurricane longer-which is a warm core system- that the center is warmer than it's surrounding enviriment.
Expect unexpected consequences with this storm.Best plan-batteries, radio, food, stay inside and enjoy what nature is going to throw at you.
track- a bit north than what is planned. the NHC always move in tiny increments. that hard left will happen-if i was on long island- i would expect that the worse damage would be there. those wind tunnels in manhattan is another concern. remember that all force is squared. a 100 mile gust is not twice of a 50 mile gust-but 4 times powerful.

a potential life changing storm will hit the NE coast

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Fri, 26 Oct 2012 07:16:00 -0500

YOU MIGHT BE W/O FOOD/WATER/ALCOHOL/ FOR DAYS. GET AHEAD OF THE GAME.

FROM ME- THIS STORM MAY SIT FOR A FEW HOURS AND CAUSE A LOT OF DAMAGE.

ALTHOUGH THE CENTER SEEMS LEFT OF THE EAST COAST .. A HUGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTYM WILL FORCE IT TO DO A HARD LEFT TURN. THIS IS NOT GOOD...THE DYNANMICS SAY THIS IS NOT GOOD.

gfdl model-925 mb storm hits nyc!!!

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Thu, 25 Oct 2012 13:50:00 -0500

7 days away-3 models predict this HUGE storm

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 12:06:00 -0500

wrapping up

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 07:13:00 -0500

loop http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=4kmsrbdc&storm_identifier=AL182012&starting_image=2012AL18_4KMSRBDC_201210240015.jpg

108 hours out

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 07:04:00 -0500

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=ngp_namer&dtg=2012102406&prod=thk&tau=108&set=All

major storm hits new england in 144 hours!!!

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 06:30:00 -0500

sandy's track by the NHC WILL CHANGE TODAY AS IT PHASES IN WITH THE SUPER COLD FRONT MARCHING ACROSS THE NATION. RECORD WARMTH IS IN FRONT OF RECORD COLD AIR AND NOW THROW IN SANDY- A VERY LARGE SYSTEM-IS THROWN INTO THE PICTURE. SANDY WILL PHASE IN WITH THE TROF-TURN NNW AND WILL TURN INTO A VERY POWERFUL N'OREASTER. LOOKS LIKE MAYBE IT WILL MOVE INTO LONG ISLAND IN 144 HOURS AND STALL A BIT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ALL ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND POSSIBLE SNOW BEHIND IT. GET READY. THIS WILL CAUSE MAJOR POWER OUTAGES.

possible levee break-90 minutes to get out in tangipahoa

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Thu, 30 Aug 2012 10:54:00 -0500

Tangipahoa Parish orders immediate evacuation after potential levee breachadd to reading list

A mandatory evacuation has been called for areas along the Tangipahoa River from Kentwood through Robert after it appeared a levee broke near Lake Tangipahoa.
www.wwl.com

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 29 Aug 2012 10:17:00 -0500

isaac wobbling coast--moving-huge rain event-national media exagerating the story

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 29 Aug 2012 07:16:00 -0500

isaac remains quite strong-barely on shore

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 29 Aug 2012 04:38:00 -0500

a bit of dry air is decaying part of the western side- but the eastern side has lot's of convection and gusts over 80mph. no levee breaks. another line of hard rain breaking across the city..but no reports of tornadoes. some storms produce short term tornadoes-due to land friction-not seeing this yet.

massive feeder band ripped thru nola cbd

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Wed, 29 Aug 2012 03:25:00 -0500

this is a cat 1 easily. a levee breach in plaqumines parish. i'm at a bustop on canal st in the cbd trying to get internet service from a phone. hate at&t. storm stalled... now trying to make a move. models were right on the stall prediction and the more westward movement

recon

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Tue, 28 Aug 2012 10:54:00 -0500

isaac intensifying-slowing down-pressure down to 975mb

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Tue, 28 Aug 2012 08:57:00 -0500

recon finding gusts to 100mph

48 hours away

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Mon, 27 Aug 2012 10:03:00 -0500

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=4kmirimg&storm_identifier=AL092012&starting_image=2012AL09_4KMIRIMG_201208270845.GIF
recon shows that isaac is on verge of becoming a hurricane. still the nhc is predicting a strong cat 1. NOLA surprises a lot of people with no evacuation and now it is too late.
the upper low is backing off to the west and should help ventilate the storm. the might sit on the coast once it makes landfall.
recon now shows a slow drop in pressure.beautiful day in NOLA

not vertically stacked

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Mon, 27 Aug 2012 02:59:00 -0500

here you can see two different flight levels and the centers a bit off. the arrows show the wind dirrection,....a plane will be in and around the storm 24 hrs a day. the good news---not a K. for a developing storm -one shouild be stacked on another-this process should not take long.

the NAM is not a good tropical model-but onland it is a great short term model

noreply@blogger.com (Unknown) — Mon, 27 Aug 2012 02:41:00 -0500

latest nam link---this is a quick short time model--and this fits in what may happen-as it approaches the boot of LA-it turns to the miss coast.
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/ready2-bin/animation.pl?id=NAM/Eta&mdl=grads/nam/panel2&file=anim