tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027Thu, 19 Dec 2024 03:26:53 +0000severe weather potentialthanksgiving Day weatherwinterWeather-related news, opinion & information for Monticello, Drew County and Southeast Arkansashttp://searkweather.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))Blogger124125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-7138147037520253945Mon, 09 Jan 2012 05:44:00 +00002012-01-08T23:44:16.326-06:00Sunday was a dreary winter day with temperatures holding steady in the lower 50’s most of the day. The latest radar sweep showed rain moving into the state from Louisiana.  Look for this trend to continue.  Rain and isolated thunderstorms are possible through Tuesday night, with the heaviest rainfall projected for Tuesday. A look at the long-range weather pattern continues to show http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2012/01/big-chill-puzzle-pieces-falling-into.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-4720600340284261854Mon, 02 Jan 2012 17:21:00 +00002012-01-02T11:21:24.750-06:00Mostly clear skies prevailed overnight as low temperatures ranged from the mid twenties to the mid thirties statewide. Northwest winds will continue to usher in highly modified arctic air into the state. Tonight will likely be the coldest night of the winter thus far as temps will fall into the teens and twenties. A warming trend will begin by midweek and allow SEARK temps to rebound back into http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2012/01/much-mischief-in-long-range-pattern.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-4439945974809004636Thu, 29 Dec 2011 13:45:00 +00002011-12-29T07:45:55.525-06:00You often hear terms such as La Nina , El Nino, North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the PNA (Pacific North America) pattern. All of these influence the weather around the world and are connected to each other in some way. This next one is supposedly playing a major role in our wildly unpredictable winter weather thus far. So far this year, long-term weather model http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/12/another-meteorological-term-to-chew-on.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-6610456255642840655Thu, 29 Dec 2011 13:34:00 +00002011-12-29T07:34:35.536-06:00There has been quite a bit of chatter and talk over  the last couple of weeks in weather geek circles concerning an interruption in the normal upper atmospheric conditions which could lead to much colder weather in the long term. What I am talking about is called Sudden Stratospheric Warming. WeatherBell Analytics forecaster Joe Bastardi has been mentioning this quite a bit lately. The idea http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/12/what-is-stratospheric-warming-and-why.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-8388753744170300937Wed, 05 Oct 2011 15:24:00 +00002011-10-05T10:24:10.314-05:00Just when you thought the hurricane season was on the wane, it is becoming more evident that the tropics are alive and will become more lively, especially over the next couple of weeks. There's even a chance the Gulf could even conjure up a storm-or one enter the Gulf before scooting up the east coast. Don't expect the SEARK to get much drought relief from one. Texas may also get some drought http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/10/tropics-to-ramp-back-up-starting-this.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-1952867653288792571Tue, 13 Sep 2011 08:22:00 +00002011-09-13T03:22:24.715-05:00The SEARK returned to “familiar territory”  climatologically speaking yesterday, as the temperature reached 95 degrees, that range of temps that we have grown all-too accustomed to this summer.  That occurring after a fabulous few days of below normal readings.  IF the month were to end today, we would actually be below normal for September!  More hints of Fall will be makinghttp://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/09/touch-of-fall-to-return-hints-about.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-2800459764711213013Sat, 03 Sep 2011 17:08:00 +00002011-09-03T12:08:48.184-05:00  You may have thought that yours truly had abandoned this blog or despite modern technology (which proves we live on a oval not a flat surface) and that I had perhaps fallen off the earth. Nope.  I’M BACK!! Because my back is ailing me again, now I have found the time to drop a few lines, and make a few comments about the seemingly endless summer we have witnessed during 2011 and http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/09/after-long-hot-summer-relief-is-on-way.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-6408583566871374978Tue, 21 Jun 2011 02:39:00 +00002011-06-20T21:39:59.385-05:00Tomorrow marks the Summer Solstice, the first day of summer when the sun is farthest north-the longest day of the year(daylight wise).  But for most of the Mid South, summer is in it’s 4th week. May ended very warm and June has been a record-breaking month for parts of the South, especially the SEARK region.  Numerous record-highs have been set and little if any rainfall  over a http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/06/welcomed-but-brief-respite-from-reality.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-5903097887900508491Sun, 05 Jun 2011 05:49:00 +00002011-06-05T00:49:11.193-05:00Hot and humid conditions continued across the SEARK region Saturday, as a large dome of high pressure centered over the mid south shows no sign of breaking down anytime soon. Temperatures officially reached the century mark for the first time this year in Arkansas and Monticello shattered the record high for the second consecutive day, making it up to 100 degrees. The old record high of 96 washttp://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/06/hot-hot-hot-for-next-several-days.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-8832369839071022138Sun, 22 May 2011 13:15:00 +00002011-05-22T11:58:52.754-05:00A stubborn, blocking high pressure system to our southeast and a weak cold front to our northwest is keeping a rather unsettled weather pattern in our forecast for the next few days. Upper level impulses ride the moist, southwest flow aloft and interact with the daytime heating and instability to spark off numerous showers and thunderstorms, some which contain large hail and heavy rain. For many http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/05/between-block-and-cold-front-thats-our.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-5438110462995336306Mon, 09 May 2011 23:30:00 +00002011-05-09T18:30:35.319-05:00  {While I am busy working a video project, please check out one of my new links, Weatherbell Analytics featuring long-range meteorologist Joe Bastardi.  Lots of great information on that site!} http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/05/we-welcome-brand-new-link.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-7084427918541400554Sun, 01 May 2011 19:31:00 +00002011-05-01T14:31:44.690-05:00  Stay up-to-date on the latest weather this afternoon and evening.  Follow my Twitter or Facebook wall for weather info.  Do NOT depend solely on this blog for the protection of life or property though.  Stay tuned to your local television or weather radio for the latest info.  Read the disclaimer at the bottom of this page. http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/05/tornado-watch-until-9-pm-sunday-evening.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-1181464712030490583Tue, 26 Apr 2011 01:21:00 +00002011-04-25T20:21:03.282-05:00At the time of this post, there was only a flash flood watch issued. There is however, a bow echo racing toward the SEARK at about 75 mph. A bow echo is a line of storms with damaging winds,which sometimes will form a twister. Please take your severe weather precautions.http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/keep-eye-to-sky.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-68854148810480997Mon, 25 Apr 2011 05:08:00 +00002011-04-25T00:09:43.478-05:00This unsettled weather pattern is entering it’s second week, with little change expected through Wednesday. Severe weather is looking rather probable, along with some heavy rain, especially the first two days of the work week. A stalled out cold front has been the focus for severe weather and flooding rains the last couple of days in northern and western  Arkansas.  A low pressure http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/severe-storms-expected-early-this-week.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-3952206163356784109Tue, 19 Apr 2011 13:26:00 +00002011-04-19T11:18:20.720-05:00It begins out West as a whisper, traverses across the Rockies, then it digs into the plains where it picks up steam-in the form of higher dew points, warmer temps and loads of instability.  From there, it violently explodes out across the Mississippi Valley.  After a sneak preview last week ,“Unsettled” starring hail, high winds and the much anticipated rainfall will begin later today http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/unsettled-opens-today-check-your.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-4250352211103540852Thu, 14 Apr 2011 19:37:00 +00002011-04-14T14:37:23.938-05:00Parts of Arkansas are under a moderate risk for severe storms late this evening throughout tonight as a potent storm system moves across the mid-Mississipi valley region. The Storm Prediction Center has the SEARK under a slight risk for storms which may become severe, the main threats being damaging winds and large hail. Due to the large amount of wind energy associated with the system, http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/storms-developing-after-midnight-some.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-7313028143574020070Mon, 11 Apr 2011 16:12:00 +00002011-04-11T11:12:25.787-05:00A line of storms along an advancing cold front is moving into the SEARK. Look for gusty winds as the front moves through. A quarter to a half inch of rain on the average can be expected. Cooler temperatures will be noticed for the next few days as the next chance of storms arrives Thursday. Later this week, I will preview the upcoming cool shot for this weekend.http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/mid-day-storms-then-milder.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-6886721799847200556Wed, 06 Apr 2011 14:14:00 +00002011-04-06T09:14:58.281-05:00Due to low relative humidity, warm temps and windy conditions today, a Red Flag Warning has been issued for the entire state of Arkansas from noon until 7 this evening. DO NOT BURN TODAY!!!http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/red-flag-warning-is-in-effect-today.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-2074026821223350884Mon, 04 Apr 2011 12:26:00 +00002011-04-04T07:26:54.021-05:00The Storm Prediction Center has placed the extreme SE corner of AR under a moderate risk for severe storm today. This includes the towns of Dermott, Lake Village and Eudora. Storms should begin impacting the SEARK by late morning and exit the region by 3 pm. Any slowing down of the system could raisw the risk of severe weather to our region. Just in, a Tornado Watch has just been issued for http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/moderate-severe-risk-for-extreme-se-ar.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-1192827937421828383Mon, 04 Apr 2011 03:05:00 +00002011-04-03T22:05:46.906-05:00  Mostly sunny skies and brisk southerly winds allowed temperatures to rise into the mid 80’s Sunday.   An area of showers and thunderstorms will move into state early Monday morning, ahead of a strong cold front.  The front is expected to move quickly through the state, exiting the area in the late afternoon/early evening hours.  Although a few severe storms are possible, ahttp://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/can-seark-dodge-bullet-again.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-4327375401116192606Tue, 29 Mar 2011 14:25:00 +00002011-03-29T09:57:04.430-05:00Look for showers and thunderstorms to develop later today, decreasing after midnight. Some storms could drop some hail, but below severe criteria. The greater risk of severe storms should remain in Louisiana and Mississippi. Cooler temps are in store for tomorrow.http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/03/showers-and-hailers-possible-today.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-6974109178591604793Sat, 26 Mar 2011 21:02:00 +00002011-03-26T16:02:46.892-05:00Tornado Watch is in effect until 10 pm for the following counties in the SEARK:  ASHLEY, BRADLEY, CALHOUN, CHICOT, DESHA, DREW, OUACHITA & UNION. http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/03/tornado-watch-for-seark-until-10pm.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-8615055410755591216Fri, 25 Mar 2011 02:03:00 +00002011-03-24T21:03:39.842-05:00Temperatures fell off quickly last night with the passing of the cold front on Wednesday.  Highs on Thursday were in the mid 60’s, nearly 20 degrees cooler than yesterday .  Lows are expected to fall into the lower 40’s by sunrise Friday, causing some concern for those with green thumbs. A storm system will meander it’s way toward the Natural State Friday, and bring with it a decent http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/03/storms-maybe-rain-hopefully-cooler.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-6816980355765802863Wed, 16 Mar 2011 06:00:00 +00002011-03-16T01:00:21.196-05:00After a cool start Wednesday morning, look for a nice warm-up which will last for the next several days. It's almost too good to be true.  Later next week, we may pay for this tranquility.  We shall see.  Have a blessed spring warm-up!http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/03/tranquil-weather-will-lead-up-to-spring.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3947445377220669027.post-3163424843504512015Tue, 08 Mar 2011 12:06:00 +00002011-03-08T06:06:00.390-06:00Temperatures remained steady overnight due to cloud cover.  Showers will be increasing in coverage today as the next system approaches the area.  A few thunderstorms may also develop as the warm front moves through. Southeast winds will also be increasing today into tonight.  There is a slight risk of severe storms  today into tonight but much like this weekend’s system, the http://searkweather.blogspot.com/2011/03/showers-and-few-storms-today-and.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (ArWeAtHeRGuY(Zdad))0