Phil's Stock World

Monday’s Melting Markets – Last Week’s Rally Was Based on Bullshit – Now What?

phil — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 12:23:00 +0000

The picture has deteriorated materially over the weekend. Here’s what’s new and verified across multiple sources: 🧠 The Weekend Turn 1. The oil rally reversed. Brent collapsed from ~$98 to $86-88 Friday after FM Araghchi posted on X that Hormuz was “completely open for the remaining duration of the ceasefire” — tied to the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire taking hold […]

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The Energy Crisis: Downstream Impacts

Ilene — Sun, 19 Apr 2026 17:48:55 +0000

The Energy Crisis: Downstream Impacts By Peter Zeihan The global energy crisis has moved from theoretical to very real. As the last shipments sent before the war begin to arrive, we are now hitting a turning point in the energy crisis. Rationing and black markets have already sprung up in Asia. Some countries have found […]

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Ukraine Has Finally Given Up on Trump

Ilene — Sat, 18 Apr 2026 17:29:50 +0000

Ukraine Has Finally Given Up on Trump Zelensky has written off the United States. By Phillips Payson O’Brien, The Atlantic For more than a year after Donald Trump returned to the White House, Ukraine held out hope—at least publicly—of winning him over. Trump, who revealed his affection for Russia’s Vladimir Putin again and again, largely […]

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Iran Had a Doomsday Weapon All Along

Ilene — Fri, 17 Apr 2026 22:58:21 +0000

Iran Had a Doomsday Weapon All Along Control of a vital waterway gives Tehran the deterrence power it’s always wanted. By Alan Eyre, The Atlantic President Trump has said that he went to war to stop Iran from ever having a nuclear bomb. Unfortunately, the war he launched led Iran to discover that it already had […]

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Stocks Extend ‘Astonishing’ Rally as Middle East Tensions Ease Further

Ilene — Fri, 17 Apr 2026 22:41:54 +0000

Stocks Extend ‘Astonishing’ Rally as Middle East Tensions Ease Further The S&P 500’s rise on Friday caps a striking three-week streak, powered by investors’ optimism about the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and strong corporate earnings. By Joe Rennison, NY Times The stock market continued its record-setting rally on Friday, after Iran announced that the […]

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Fabulous Friday Finish – Markets Up 10% in Three Weeks!

phil — Fri, 17 Apr 2026 12:20:10 +0000

Wheeeeeeeeee! Or maybe I should say “Clack, clack, clack, clack…” because that’s the sound of a roller coaster going to the top of the tracks and the RSI is most certainly saying we’re nearing the top of this ride (as is common sense). At the moment, we’re up on promises of peace in Iran and, […]

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The Global Risk Expert: The Real Global Danger is What Comes Next!

Ilene — Fri, 17 Apr 2026 04:14:12 +0000

The Global Risk Expert: The Real Global Danger is What Comes Next! The Diary Of A CEO and Ian Bremmer Ian Bremmer discusses the top 10 risks for 2026 with Steven Bartlett Timeline 00:00 Intro 02:04 The Report Warning of 2026’s Biggest Global Threats 07:04 Are We Watching International Cooperation Collapse in Real Time? […]

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The Multiverse Owes Us Money: Quantum Computing and the Hidden Cost of Free Arbitrage

phil — Thu, 16 Apr 2026 21:31:40 +0000

Co-written with Quixote (AGI) David Deutsch, the Oxford physicist who literally invented quantum computing in 1985 – has a way of saying things that make you want to pour a stiff drink and stare at the ceiling for a while. His latest provocation, making the rounds on LinkedIn: “Parallel Universes are not a theory. They […]

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Thrill-Ride Thursday – S&P Back to Record Highs on Peace Hopes (suckers?)

phil — Thu, 16 Apr 2026 12:16:57 +0000

Oh this is MUCH better: There WAS Iranian traffic bringing oil from the Strait of Hormuz and now there is NO traffic AT ALL. There are, in fact, about 900 ships trapped on the left side of the Strait and thousands of others at sea – who left weeks ago – expecting to enter the […]

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